Karolina Hird
483 Results
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2024
George Barros Karolina Hird Christina Harward Kateryna Stepanenko October 01, 2024 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 14, 2024
George Barros Karolina Hird Christina Harward Riley Bailey Davit Gasparyan September 14, 2024 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 14, 2024
George Barros Davit Gasparyan Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov August 14, 2024 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 15, 2024
George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward July 15, 2024 ANALYSISA recent Ukrainian poll indicates that Ukrainians widely reject Russia's demands for total Ukrainian capitulation, emphasizing that the K...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 2, 2024
George Barros Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov July 02, 2024 ANALYSISThe interplay between ongoing Russian offensive operations in the Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Avdiivka directions indicates that the Russian...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 25, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Christina Harward Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov June 25, 2024 ANALYSISTwo major international bodies—the International Criminal Court (ICC) and the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) — announced decisions...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2024
George Barros Karolina Hird Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans June 21, 2024 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin continues to invoke nuclear threats as part of his ongoing information campaign to discourage further We...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 4, 2024
George Barros Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Karolina Hird Riley Bailey June 04, 2024 ANALYSISSelect Russian military commentators continue to complain about superior Ukrainian drone and electronic warfare (EW) capabilities on the ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 14, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans Karolina Hird May 14, 2024 ANALYSISThe pace of Russian offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast appears to have slowed over the past 24 hours, and the pattern of Rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 7, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey May 07, 2024 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin began his fifth term as Russian President on May 7 and stressed Russia's need for unchallenged autocrati...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 30, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov April 30, 2024 ANALYSISRussian forces did not make any confirmed advances in the Avdiivka area on April 30 for the first time in several days, while Ukrainian s...
Iran Update, April 23, 2024
Nicholas Carl Karolina Hird Ashka Jhaveri Alexandra Braverman Annika Ganzeveld Peter Mills Johanna Moore Andie Parry April 23, 2024 ANALYSISHamas military spokesperson Abu Obeida called on April 23 for the anti-Israel protest movement in Jordan to escalate.[i] Abu Obeida calle...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 23, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Annika Ganzeveld Angelica Evans Christina Harward Karolina Hird April 23, 2024 ANALYSISRussian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu highlighted ongoing Russian offensive operations near Chasiv Yar, Avdiivka, and Donetsk City and a...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 21, 2024
Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Christina Harward Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov April 21, 2024 ANALYSISUS Senate Intelligence Committee Chairperson Senator Mark Warner reported on April 21 that US provisions of military aid to Ukraine, incl...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 9, 2024
George Barros Grace Mappes Christina Harward Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov April 09, 2024 ANALYSISRussian state media highlighted Russia and China’s joint effort to combat perceived Western “dual containment” targeting Russia and China...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 2, 2024
George Barros Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Riley Bailey April 02, 2024 ANALYSISUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a law on April 2 that lowers the Ukrainian military’s mobilization age from 27 to 25 years ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 14, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird March 14, 2024 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 6, 2024
George Barros Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Angelica Evans March 06, 2024 ANALYSISUkrainian Ground Forces Commander Lieutenant General Oleksandr Pavlyuk stated on March 6 that Ukraine will try to seize the initiative an...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 5, 2024
George Barros Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Christina Harward Karolina Hird March 05, 2024 ANALYSISUkraine destroyed the Project 22160 Sergei Kotov large patrol ship of the Black Sea Fleet (BSF) off the coast of the Kerch Strait on the ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Angelica Evans February 28, 2024 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 27, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Christina Harward Riley Bailey February 27, 2024 ANALYSISRussian forces are attempting to exploit tactical opportunities offered by the Russian seizure of Avdiivka and appear to be maintaining a...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 26, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird February 26, 2024 ANALYSISSweden will join NATO following Hungary’s formal approval of Sweden’s accession bid on February 26.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 20, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 20, 2024 ANALYSISUkraine has been defending itself against illegal Russian military intervention and aggression for 10 years.[1] Russia violated its commi...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 17, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Grace Mappes February 17, 2024 ANALYSISRussian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu claimed that Russian forces have established “full control” over Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast as Russi...
Iran Update, February 12, 2024
Nicholas Carl Karolina Hird Kathryn Tyson Peter Mills Brian Carter Ashka Jhaveri Annika Ganzeveld February 12, 2024 ANALYSISUkraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate reported that elements of Lebanese Hezbollah and the IRGC are training Russian drone ope...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 12, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Karolina Hird February 12, 2024 ANALYSISUkraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that elements of Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) and the Islamic Revolutionary Gu...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 7, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Karolina Hird February 07, 2024 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 20, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans January 20, 2024 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin falsely claimed that Russia supports the “unconditional equality” and “sovereignty” of all states in a J...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 2, 2024
Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Grace Mappes Christina Harward Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko January 02, 2024 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin identified the West as Russia’s “enemy” and implied that Russia is fighting in Ukraine in order to defea...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 22, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Angelica Evans Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko December 22, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian officials continue to warn that Russia maintains its maximalist objectives and additional goals for territorial conquest in Ukr...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 20, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov December 20, 2023 ANALYSISHead of the Kremlin-controlled Russian Orthodox Church Patriarch Kirill made a series of anti-migrant and xenophobic remarks that directl...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 10, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Angelica Evans December 10, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 9, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Angelica Evans Grace Mappes Karolina Hird December 09, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces have likely committed to offensive operations in multiple sectors of the front during a period of the most challenging wea...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 6, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans Riley Bailey December 06, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 4, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Grace Mappes Karolina Hird December 04, 2023 ANALYSISRussia continues to reckon with the economic ramifications of labor shortages partially resulting from the war in Ukraine.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 27, 2023
Mason Clark George Barros Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird November 27, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 12, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Angelica Evans Grace Mappes November 12, 2023 ANALYSISRestructuring and Expansion of the Russian Ground Forces Hindered by Ukraine War Requirements
Karolina Hird November 12, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 13, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Christina Harward November 10, 2023 ANALYSISRussian state media released and later retracted reports about the "regrouping" of Russian forces on the east (left) bank of Kherson Obla...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 7, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Angelica Evans Riley Bailey Christina Harward November 07, 2023 ANALYSISRussian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces transferred a limited number of armored vehicles to the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 5, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Christina Harward Karolina Hird Riley Bailey November 05, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 1, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird November 01, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi assessed on November 1 that the war in Ukraine has taken on a positional nature an...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 30, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Kateryna Stepanenko Christina Harward Karolina Hird October 30, 2023 ANALYSISRussian officials announced that Russian law enforcement suppressed the antisemitic riots in Makhachkala, Republic of Dagestan on October...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 24, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans October 24, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 23, 2023
Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans Christina Harward Karolina Hird October 23, 2023 ANALYSISRussia's domestic production of artillery shells, supplemented by increased ammunition imports from North Korea, will likely allow Russia...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 22, 2023
Mason Clark Riley Bailey Christina Harward Angelica Evans Karolina Hird October 22, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 21, 2023
Mason Clark Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Angelica Evans October 21, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces have likely repelled another intensified Russian offensive effort towards Avdiivka in the past several days and inflicte...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 20, 2023
Mason Clark Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey October 20, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces launched a renewed offensive push near Avdiivka on October 20 and marginally advanced, indicating that the Russian militar...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 19, 2023
Mason Clark Grace Mappes Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird October 19, 2023 ANALYSISRussian sources continued to discuss larger-than-usual Ukrainian ground operations on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast on October 1...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 18, 2023
Mason Clark Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans October 18, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 17, 2023
Mason Clark Angelica Evans Riley Bailey Karolina Hird October 17, 2023 ANALYSISUkraine used US-provided ATACMS long-range missiles to strike Russian targets in occupied Ukraine for the first time on October 17.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 16, 2023
Mason Clark Christina Harward Grace Mappes Angelica Evans Karolina Hird October 16, 2023 ANALYSISRussia likely deployed elements of at least two Central Military District (CMD) brigades to reinforce offensive operations by Donetsk Peo...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 11, 2023
Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Angelica Evans Karolina Hird October 11, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 10, 2023
Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Christina Harward October 10, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 9, 2023
Mason Clark Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Grace Mappes October 09, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 8, 2023
Mason Clark Angelica Evans Kateryna Stepanenko Grace Mappes Karolina Hird October 08, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 6, 2023
Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Christina Harward Karolina Hird October 06, 2023 ANALYSISKarolina Hird, Christina Harward, Grace Mappes, Nicole Wolkov, and Mason Clark
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 5, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Christina Harward October 05, 2023 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin addressed the 20th Valdai Discussion Club on October 5 and promoted multiple long-standing Russian infor...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 4, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird October 04, 2023 ANALYSISThe Russian military recently transferred several Black Sea Fleet (BSF) vessels from the port in occupied Sevastopol, Crimea to the port ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 25, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Christina Harward Angelica Evans September 25, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 16, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Riley Bailey September 16, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continued offensive operations in the Bakhmut direction on September 16 and continued to make gains in the area.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 12, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko September 12, 2023 ANALYSISRussian insider sources claimed that the Kremlin’s inner circle is again actively disagreeing about the necessity of and preparations for...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 11, 2023
Mason Clark Angelica Evans Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird September 11, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 10, 2023
Mason Clark Karolina Hird Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey September 10, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 9, 2023
Mason Clark Christina Harward Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Grace Mappes September 09, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces made confirmed advances in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and made claimed a...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 7, 2023
Mason Clark Angelica Evans Grace Mappes Karolina Hird September 07, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 6, 2023
Mason Clark Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Karolina Hird September 06, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the Bakhmut and western Zaporizhia Oblast directions and have made gains in wes...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 5, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans Grace Mappes September 05, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continue to advance in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Geolocated footage posted on September 5 shows Russian forces striking...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 15, 2023
Mason Clark Angelica Evans Christina Harward Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes August 15, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on August 15 and reportedly advanced in Luh...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 13, 2023
Mason Clark Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes August 13, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least two sectors of the front on August 13 and reportedly advanced in the w...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 7, 2023
Mason Clark Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 07, 2023 ANALYSISHow the Ukraine Counteroffensive Can Still Succeed
Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Frederick W. Kagan August 03, 2023 ANALYSISThe situation in Ukraine still favors Kyiv despite the limited progress made in the counteroffensive so far.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 2, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 02, 2023 ANALYSISA dispute among prominent voices in the Russian information space highlights the Kremlin’s sensitivity to Russian reporting about setback...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 1, 2023
Mason Clark Annika Ganzeveld Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird August 01, 2023 ANALYSISThe Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) accused Ukraine of attempting to attack two Black Sea Fleet patrol boats with unmanned semi-submers...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 31, 2023
Mason Clark George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 31, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 30, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey July 30, 2023 ANALYSISThe lack of Russian milblogger reaction to a Ukrainian strike on the Chonhar bridge represents a notable inflection in Russian reporting ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 27, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Angelica Evans Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird July 27, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on July 27 and made gains in some areas, al...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 26, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird July 26, 2023 ANALYSIS>hr/>
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 25, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov July 25, 2023 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin continued to manifest concern over potential threats that the Wagner Group and its financier Yevgeny Pri...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 24, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 24, 2023 ANALYSISLikely Ukrainian forces conducted a drone strike near the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) building in Moscow on July 24.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 18, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Angela Howard Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 18, 2023 ANALYSISThe July 17 Kerch Strait Bridge attack is likely having immediate ramifications on Russian military logistics in southern Ukraine.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 14, 2023
Mason Clark Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Riley Bailey July 14, 2023 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin further indicated he intends to maintain the Wagner Group as a cohesive fighting force rather than break...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 10, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey July 10, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian officials stated on July 10 that Ukrainian forces have fire control over Bakhmut and Russian ground lines of communication (GLO...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 7, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov George Barros Grace Mappes Riley Bailey July 07, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces made tactically significant gains in the Bakhmut area and continued counteroffensive operations in at least three other ...
Salafi-Jihadi Movement Weekly Update, July 5, 2023
Karolina Hird Peter Mills Liam Karr Kathryn Tyson Brian Carter July 06, 2023 ANALYSISIraq and Syria. ISIS conducted three attacks in Iraq near a border crossing in Saudi Arabia, possibly signaling the group’s intent to cha...
Salafi-Jihadi Movement Update Special Edition: Wagner Will Remain in Africa
Liam Karr Karolina Hird July 05, 2023 ANALYSISThe Wagner Group will continue operating in Africa following the group’s armed rebellion and is very unlikely to decrease its activity on...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 3, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Grace Mappes July 03, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least four sectors of the front made marginal advances on July 3. The Russia...
Iran Update, June 28, 2023
Kitaneh Fitzpatrick Karolina Hird Johanna Moore June 28, 2023 ANALYSISIranian leadership met with Iraqi Shia Coordination Framework leadership in Tehran to discuss forming political coalitions during the wee...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 28, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Kitaneh Fitzpatrick Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird June 28, 2023 ANALYSISContinued reporting about the deal mediated by Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko to end the Wagner Group’s armed rebellion suggest...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 25, 2023
Mason Clark Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey June 25, 2023 ANALYSISRussian sources speculated on the specifics of the deal mediated by Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko to end the Wagner Group’s Ju...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 24, 2023
Mason Clark Angelica Evans Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko June 24, 2023 ANALYSISThe Kremlin announced late on June 24 that Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko negotiated a deal under which Wagner Group financier ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2023
Mason Clark Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Riley Bailey June 21, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on June 21. Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minist...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 20, 2023
Mason Clark Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey June 20, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least two sectors of the front on June 20.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 19, 2023
Mason Clark Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird June 19, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least three sectors of the frontline and made gains on June 19.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 16, 2023
Mason Clark Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey June 16, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continued counteroffensive actions on at least three sectors of the front on June 16 and reportedly made gains. The Ukra...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 15, 2023
Mason Clark Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird June 15, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 15, 2023
Mason Clark Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird June 15, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 14, 2023
Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey June 14, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three directions and made gains on June 14.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2023
Mason Clark George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko June 12, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three sectors of the front and made territorial gains on June 12. Ukra...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 10, 2023
Mason Clark Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Riley Bailey June 10, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least four areas of the front on June 10.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 8, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird June 08, 2023 ANALYSISUkraine has conducted counteroffensive operations with differential outcomes in at least three sectors of the front as part of wider coun...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 7, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko June 07, 2023 ANALYSISThe destruction of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam is significantly changing the geography and topography of the Kherso...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 6, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey Karolina Hird June 06, 2023 ANALYSISDamage to the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam in the early hours of June 6 caused massive flooding of the Dnipro River delt...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 3, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Riley Bailey June 03, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian officials continue to signal that Ukrainian forces are prepared to start counteroffensive operations.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 2, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Layne Philipson June 02, 2023 ANALYSISThe Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continues to respond disproportionately to limited raids into Russian territory, likely to project ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 29, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird George Barros Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey May 29, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted another series of strikes against Ukraine with cruise missiles and Iranian-made drones overnight on May 28 to 29...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 25, 2023
Mason Clark Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird May 25, 2023 ANALYSISWagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin announced on May 25 that the Wagner Group began handing over its positions in Bakhmut to the Rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 22, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird May 22, 2023 ANALYSISElements of the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) and Freedom of Russia Legion (LSR) conducted a raid into Belgorod...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 19, 2023
Mason Clark Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey May 19, 2023 ANALYSISA Ukrainian official stated that Russian forces have concentrated most of their available reserves to the Bakhmut area and slowed Ukraini...
Iran Update, May 16, 2023
Nicholas Carl Karolina Hird Andie Parry Annika Ganzeveld Ashka Jhaveri May 16, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 14, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Riley Bailey May 14, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted another series of drone and missile strikes against Ukraine on the night of May 13 to 14.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 13, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey May 13, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continue to counterattack in the Bakhmut area amid unconfirmed claims of further marginal Ukrainian gains southwest of t...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 12, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird May 12, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces have made gains northwest of Bakhmut in localized counterattacks as of May 12. Geolocated footage posted on May 12 shows...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 10, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Karolina Hird May 10, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces conducted successful limited counterattacks around Bakhmut on May 9.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 8, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes May 08, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted another large-scale missile and drone strike against Ukraine on the night of May 7 to 8. The Ukrainian General S...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 6, 2023
Mason Clark Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird May 06, 2023 ANALYSISWagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov stated their intent on May 6 for Chechen “Akhmat” troop...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 5, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird May 05, 2023 ANALYSISThe Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) appears to have deprioritized the Bakhmut offensive in favor of preparing to defend against an anti...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 4, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Riley Bailey May 04, 2023 ANALYSISRussia conducted another Shahed-131/136 strike against Ukraine on May 4. Ukrainian military sources reported that Russian forces launched...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 1, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey May 01, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted another large-scale missile strike against Ukraine on the night of April 30 to May 1.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 27, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Angela Howard Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird April 27, 2023 ANALYSISThe Russian military command appears to be reshuffling the leadership of command organs associated with force generation, sustainment, an...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 26, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird April 26, 2023 ANALYSISRussia appears to be continuing a deliberate depopulation campaign in occupied areas of Ukraine in order to facilitate the repopulation o...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 24, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes April 24, 2023 ANALYSISRussian milbloggers speculated that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered additional military command changes on April 20. A prominent...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 23, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird April 23, 2023 ANALYSISThis report outlines the current Russian order of battle (ORBAT) in Ukraine, assesses the offensive and defensive capabilities of Russian...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 17, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird April 17, 2023 ANALYSISWagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is seemingly regaining some favor with Russian President Vladimir Putin, likely as a result of t...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 16, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird April 16, 2023 ANALYSISThe United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (UK MoD) reported on April 16 that it is highly likely that VDV commander Colonel General Mikhail ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 15, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Karolina Hird Riley Bailey George Barros April 15, 2023 ANALYSISReporting from some Western sources that Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin called for Russia to end its war against Ukraine is ina...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 11, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird George Barros Grace Mappes April 11, 2023 ANALYSISThe Kremlin passed legislation to use tools of digital authoritarianism to digitize and improve the effectiveness of issuing summonses an...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 10, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko April 10, 2023 ANALYSISWagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is reportedly advancing his political aspirations by seeking to gain control of a Russian politi...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 7, 2023
Mason Clark George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird April 07, 2023 ANALYSISRussian milbloggers responded with speculative anxiety to reportedly leaked (and possibly altered) classified US military documents about...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 3, 2023
Mason Clark Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird April 03, 2023 ANALYSISWagner Group fighters made further advances in central Bakhmut and seized the Bakhmut City Administration Building on the night of April ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 31, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov George Barros Riley Bailey March 31, 2023 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin approved a new Russian Foreign Policy Concept on March 31 that likely aims to support the Kremlin’s atte...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 29, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey March 29, 2023 ANALYSISIranian Foreign Affairs Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Moscow on March 29 to review...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 27, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Grace Mappes March 27, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 21, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird March 21, 2023 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin appears to be setting conditions to weaponize the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) as a method of ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 20, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Angela Howard Riley Bailey March 20, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces made marginal gains in and around Bakhmut amid a reported increase in the tempo of Russian operations around Avdiivka. Rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 15, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird March 15, 2023 ANALYSISThe overall pace of Russian operations in Ukraine appears to have decreased compared to previous weeks. Spokesperson for the Ukrainian Jo...
Iran Update, March 13, 2023
Nicholas Carl Karolina Hird Johanna Moore Zachary Coles Annika Ganzeveld Amin Soltani March 13, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 11, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Nicole Wolkov George Barros Karolina Hird Riley Bailey March 11, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces did not make any confirmed advances within Bakhmut on March 11. Ukrainian and Russian sources continue to report heavy fig...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 10, 2023
Mason Clark George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird March 10, 2023 ANALYSISUS intelligence warned that individuals with ties to Russian intelligence may be planning to attempt to instigate an insurrection in Mold...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 7, 2023
Mason Clark George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird March 07, 2023 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 6, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird March 06, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian authorities indicated that Ukraine will continue to defend Bakhmut for now.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 4, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Riley Bailey Karolina Hird March 04, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces appear to have secured a sufficient positional advantage to conduct a turning movement against certain parts of Bakhmut bu...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 3, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird March 03, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian forces appear to be setting conditions for a controlled fighting withdrawal from parts of Bakhmut. Russian forces have been fig...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 1, 2023
George Barros Mason Clark Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko March 01, 2023 ANALYSISThe Kremlin may leverage an amendment to Russia’s Criminal Code increasing punishments for "discrediting" the war in Ukraine to promote f...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 24, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Riley Bailey February 24, 2023 ANALYSISThe Kremlin did not comment on the first anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, likely because Russia has...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 23, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey February 23, 2023 ANALYSISThe Kremlin appears to be setting conditions for false flag operations on the Chernihiv Oblast international border and in Moldova ahead ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 21, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Nicole Wolkov George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird February 21, 2023 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin’s February 21 address to the Russian Federal Assembly did not articulate specific goals or intentions fo...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 19, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird February 19, 2023 ANALYSISThe major phase of Russian offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast is underway, and Russia likely lacks sufficient uncommitted reserves to...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 16, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov George Barros Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 16, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted another missile strike on infrastructure facilities throughout Ukraine on February 16. The Ukrainian General Sta...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 13, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird February 14, 2023 ANALYSISMoscow continues to leverage its relationship with Iran to provide military support for the war in Ukraine.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 9, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 09, 2023 ANALYSISWagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin announced on February 9 that the Wagner Group has entirely stopped recruiting prisoners. In a re...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 8, 2023
Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 08, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces have regained the initiative in Ukraine and have begun their next major offensive in Luhansk Oblast. The pace of Russian o...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 6, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko February 06, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian officials assess that Russian forces are preparing to launch a large-scale decisive offensive in eastern Ukraine in mid-to-late...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 3, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson George Barros Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird February 03, 2023 ANALYSISThe Biden administration announced a new $2.2 billion military aid package to Ukraine on February 3, including precision long-range missi...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 2, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 02, 2023 ANALYSISA Ukrainian intelligence official stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the Russian military to capture Donetsk and Luhans...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 1, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko February 01, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian officials are continuing to warn about Russia’s intention of conducting a decisive offensive operation in Donbas in February an...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 30, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Kitaneh Fitzpatrick George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird January 30, 2023 ANALYSISWestern, Ukrainian, and Russian sources continue to indicate that Russia is preparing for an imminent offensive, supporting ISW’s assessm...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 27, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko January 27, 2023 ANALYSISKremlin insiders reportedly told Bloomberg that Russian President Vladimir Putin is preparing a new offensive to regain the initiative th...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 26, 2023
Nicole Wolkov Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird January 26, 2023 ANALYSISRussian forces launched another massive series of missile and drone strikes across Ukraine on January 26.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 24, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird January 24, 2023 ANALYSISA coalition of NATO member states reportedly will send Ukraine modern main battle tanks. The Wall Street Journal reported on January 24 ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 23, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros Karolina Hird January 23, 2023 ANALYSISUkrainian intelligence assessed that Russian forces are preparing for an offensive effort in the spring or early summer of 2023, partiall...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 21, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird January 21, 2023 ANALYSISThe Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is likely a strategically sound effort despite its costs for Ukraine. While the costs associated with Uk...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 11
Mason Clark Layne Philipson Madison Williams Grace Mappes Riley Bailey George Barros Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko January 11, 2023 ANALYSISThe Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced on January 11 that Chief of the General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov will take ove...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 10, 2023
Mason Clark Katherine Lawlor George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird January 10, 2023 ANALYSISRussian media reported on January 10 that Colonel General Aleksandr Lapin, former commander of the Central Military District (CMD) and Ru...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 7, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Karolina Hird January 07, 2023 ANALYSISRecent Russian gains in Soledar do not portend an imminent encirclement of Bakhmut, contrary to claims made by Russian sources. Even at t...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 6, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Karolina Hird January 06, 2023 ANALYSISRussian officials and milbloggers largely did not react to the US announcement of more than $3.75 billion in new military assistance to U...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 5, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird January 05, 2023 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin’s announcement that Russian forces will conduct a 36-hour ceasefire between January 6 and January 7 in o...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 4, 2023
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Madison Williams Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Riley Bailey January 04, 2023 ANALYSISThe Russian milblogger information space continues to seize on official responses to the Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian base in Mak...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 30
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Madison Williams Karolina Hird Riley Bailey December 30, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces targeted Kyiv using Iranian-made drones on the night of December 29 to 30, a continuation of an increased pace of drone at...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 29
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Angela Howard December 29, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted another massive series of missile strikes against Ukrainian critical infrastructure on December 29. Ukrainian of...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 28
Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Riley Bailey George Barros December 28, 2022 ANALYSISThe Russian offensive against Bakhmut is likely culminating as ISW forecasted on December 27.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 26
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko December 26, 2022 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin did not offer to negotiate with Ukraine on December 25 contrary to some reporting.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 19
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird December 19, 2022 ANALYSISBelarusian President Alexander Lukashenko likely deflected Russian President Vladimir Putin’s efforts to coerce Belarus into further Russ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 18
Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Grace Mappes Karolina Hird December 18, 2022 ANALYSISThis report discusses recent efforts by Russian military leadership to address Russian failures in Ukraine, the planned December 19 meeti...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 17
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Riley Bailey December 17, 2022 ANALYSISThe Kremlin is likely attempting to depict Russian President Vladimir Putin as a competent wartime leader and to rehabilitate the image o...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 15
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Riley Bailey George Barros Karolina Hird December 15, 2022 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin’s objectives in Ukraine have not changed according to Ukrainian officials’ and ISW’s assessments based o...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 14
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Riley Bailey George Barros Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko December 14, 2022 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin’s alluded decision to postpone his annual address to the Russian Federation Assembly indicates he remain...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 13
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird December 13, 2022 ANALYSISBelarusian forces remain unlikely to attack Ukraine despite a snap Belarusian military readiness check on December 13.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 12
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird December 12, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces are continuing to shape and consolidate their force composition in eastern Ukraine to bolster defenses against ongoing Ukr...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 10
Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Angela Howard Riley Bailey Karolina Hird December 10, 2022 ANALYSISAn unnamed US defense source told The Times that the Pentagon is no longer insisting that Ukraine should not strike military targets with...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 7
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird December 07, 2022 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin is setting conditions for a protracted war of conquest in Ukraine. During a meeting with the Russian Pre...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 6
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Angela Howard December 06, 2022 ANALYSISThe Kremlin directly responded to Russian rumors of a second wave of mobilization in an apparent effort to manage growing societal concer...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 4
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Grace Mappes George Barros December 04, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian officials have indicated that Ukrainian forces plan to continue offensive operations over the coming winter to capitalize on re...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 3
George Barros Nicholas Carl Frederick W. Kagan Riley Bailey Karolina Hird December 03, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 30
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Riley Bailey Karolina Hird November 30, 2022 ANALYSISRussian efforts around Bakhmut indicate that Russian forces have fundamentally failed to learn from previous high-casualty campaigns conc...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 28
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Layne Philipson Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird November 28, 2022 ANALYSISRecent claims of Russian gains around Bakhmut on November 27 and 28 do not portend an imminent Russian encirclement of Bakhmut. Geolocate...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 26
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird November 26, 2022 ANALYSISThe overall pace of operations along the frontline has slowed in recent days due to deteriorating weather conditions but is likely to inc...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 25
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird November 25, 2022 ANALYSISReports of poorly staffed, provisioned, and supplied Russian mobilized personnel are dividing the Russian information space, exposing the...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 23
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko November 23, 2022 ANALYSISThe Russian military conducted another set of massive, coordinated missile strikes on Ukrainian critical infrastructure in a misguided at...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 22
Frederick W. Kagan Nicholas Carl Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko November 22, 2022 ANALYSISThe Kremlin appears to be setting information conditions for a false-flag attack in Belgorod Oblast, Russia, likely in an effort to regai...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 21
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Yekaterina Klepanchuk Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird November 21, 2022 ANALYSISTwo days of shelling caused widespread damage to the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) on November 20 and 21.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 18
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Grace Mappes Karolina Hird November 18, 2022 ANALYSISRussian officials are preparing for further covert mobilization efforts even as the fall conscription cycle is underway, likely further f...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 17
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Riley Bailey Karolina Hird November 17, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted another massive wave of missile strikes across Ukraine on November 17. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 16
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird November 16, 2022 ANALYSISRussian sources and proxy officials are flagrantly touting the forced adoption of Ukrainian children into Russian families.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 14
Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Yekaterina Klepanchuk Angela Howard Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko November 14, 2022 ANALYSISThe Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) escalated claims of Russian territorial gains in Donetsk Oblast on November 13 and 14, likely to em...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 11
Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird November 11, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 9
Mason Clark Nicholas Carl Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Kateryna Stepanenko Grace Mappes Karolina Hird November 09, 2022 ANALYSISThe Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) ordered Russian forces on the west (right) bank of the Dnipro River to begin withdrawing to the eas...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 8
Mason Clark Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Grace Mappes Karolina Hird November 08, 2022 ANALYSISIranian state-run outlet Nour News Agency reported that Russian National Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev arrived in Tehran o...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 7
Mason Clark Madison Williams Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko November 07, 2022 ANALYSISThe Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) issued a rare statement on November 7 in response to extensive Russian milblogger outcry on Novembe...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 5
Mason Clark Angela Howard Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird November 05, 2022 ANALYSISWagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin seeks to obfuscate his efforts to strengthen his independent power base with an appeal to the co...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 2
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko November 02, 2022 ANALYSISRussian force generation efforts combined with Western sanctions are having long-term damaging effects on the Russian economy, as ISW has...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 1
Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko November 01, 2022 ANALYSISIran plans to send more combat drones and new ballistic missile systems to Russia for use in Ukraine, likely further strengthening Russia...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 31
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird October 31, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted another massive wave of missiles strikes targeting critical Ukrainian infrastructure across the country on Octob...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 29
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Karolina Hird George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko October 29, 2022 ANALYSISLikely Ukrainian forces conducted an attack against a Grigorovich-class frigate of the Black Sea Fleet (BSF) near Sevastopol with unmanne...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 27
Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Riley Bailey George Barros October 27, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 26
Frederick W. Kagan Riley Bailey Karolina Hird George Barros October 26, 2022 ANALYSISA Reuters investigation of a document trove found in an abandoned Russian command post in Balakliya, Kharkiv Oblast, supports ISW’s longs...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 25
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko October 25, 2022 ANALYSISMembers of the Russian siloviki faction continue to voice their dissatisfaction with Russian war efforts in Ukraine, indicating that Russ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 20
Frederick W. Kagan Nicholas Carl George Barros Riley Bailey Kathryn Tyson Karolina Hird October 20, 2022 ANALYSISRussia is likely continuing to prepare for a false flag attack on the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (HPP).
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 19
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor October 19, 2022 ANALYSISRussian authorities are likely setting information conditions to justify planned Russian retreats and significant territorial losses in K...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 18
Mason Clark George Barros Grace Mappes Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird October 18, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces continued to target critical Ukrainian civilian infrastructure with air, missile, and drone strikes on October 18.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 17
Frederick W. Kagan Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird October 17, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted a series of drone and missile strikes against residential areas and critical infrastructure throughout Ukraine o...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 15
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird October 15, 2022 ANALYSISRussia continues to conduct massive, forced deportations of Ukrainians that likely amount to a deliberate ethnic cleansing campaign in ad...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 14
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Grace Mappes Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird October 14, 2022 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin likely attempted to make a virtue of necessity by announcing that his “partial” mobilization will end in...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 13
Frederick W. Kagan Katherine Lawlor Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird October 13, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 12
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird October 12, 2022 ANALYSISRussia has seemingly intensified its information operation to falsely portray Ukraine as a terrorist state, likely to set information con...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 6
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Riley Bailey Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird October 06, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 4
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko October 04, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continued to make significant gains in Kherson Oblast while simultaneously continuing advances in Kharkiv and Luhansk ob...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 3
Frederick W. Kagan Katherine Lawlor Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird October 03, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian forces continued to make substantial gains around Lyman and in Kherson Oblast in the last 48 hours. Ukrainian and Russian sourc...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko October 01, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian forces inflicted another significant operational defeat on Russia and liberated Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, on October 1. The Russia...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 29
Frederick W. Kagan Riley Bailey George Barros Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko September 29, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 28
Frederick W. Kagan Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird September 28, 2022 ANALYSISRussian milbloggers discussed Ukrainian gains around Lyman with increased concern on September 28, suggesting that Russian forces in this...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird September 24, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu’s declarations about which categories of Russian males will be exempted from partial mobilization ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 22
Mason Clark Kateryna Stepanenko Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird September 22, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 21
Frederick W. Kagan Katherine Lawlor Mason Clark Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird September 21, 2022 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin’s announcement of “partial mobilization” on September 21 reflected many problems Russia faces in its fal...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 20
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor September 20, 2022 ANALYSISRussian-appointed occupation officials in Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia oblasts announced on September 20 that they will hold...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 19
Frederick W. Kagan Mason Clark Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird September 19, 2022 ANALYSISUrgent discussion on September 19 among Russia’s proxies of the need for Russia to immediately annex Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts (much of...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 14
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Katherine Lawlor Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird September 14, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 13
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko September 13, 2022 ANALYSISThe Kremlin acknowledged its defeat in Kharkiv Oblast, the first time Moscow has openly recognized a defeat since the start of the Februa...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 11
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko September 11, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian forces have inflicted a major operational defeat on Russia, recapturing almost all Kharkiv Oblast in a rapid counter-offensive.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 7
Mason Clark Layne Philipson George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird September 07, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian forces are skillfully exploiting Russia’s deployment of forces away from the Izyum-Kharkiv area to retake territory and threate...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 6
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson George Barros Karolina Hird September 06, 2022 ANALYSISThe International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) September 6 report on the situation at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) descri...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 5
Mason Clark Angela Howard Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko September 05, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 3
Mason Clark George Barros Grace Mappes Angela Howard Karolina Hird September 03, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian officials directly stated that the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive is a methodical operation to intentionally degrade Russia...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 2
Mason Clark George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko September 02, 2022 ANALYSISRussian independent polling organization Levada posted survey results on September 1 indicating that while the majority of Russians still...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 1
Mason Clark George Barros Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko September 02, 2022 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin reiterated his false framing of Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine as a defensive operation to prot...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 31
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko September 01, 2022 ANALYSISThe Russian Ministry of Defense and Russian milbloggers began an information operation declaring the Ukrainian counteroffensive a failure...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 30
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko August 30, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian forces began striking Russian pontoon ferries across the Dnipro River on August 29, which is consistent with the start of the U...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 27
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird August 27, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 26
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 26, 2022 ANALYSISThe International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) stated that elements of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) reconnected to the Ukra...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 25
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Karolina Hird August 25, 2022 ANALYSISRussian President Vladimir Putin’s August 25 decree to increase the size of the Russian military starting in January 2023 is unlikely to ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 24
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird August 24, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu stated on August 24 that Russian forces are slowing down the overall pace of their offensive opera...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 23
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird August 23, 2022 ANALYSISRussian government sources confirmed that Russian authorities are bringing Ukrainian children to Russia and having Russian families adopt...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 22
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko August 22, 2022 ANALYSISRussian occupation officials in Zaporizhia Oblast have obliquely declared the region’s independence from Ukraine by falsely identifying U...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 19
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 19, 2022 ANALYSISRecent Ukrainian strikes on Russian military and transportation infrastructure in Crimea and Kherson Oblast are likely reducing Russian c...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 18
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Katherine Lawlor Angela Howard Layne Philipson Karolina Hird August 18, 2022 ANALYSISThere were no claimed or assessed Russian territorial gains in Ukraine on August 18, 2022 for the first time since July 6, 2022.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 13
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 13, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian forces are continuing efforts to disrupt Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) that support Russian forces on the right...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 14
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko August 12, 2022 ANALYSISRussian and proxy troops in Ukraine are likely operating in roughly six groups of forces oriented on Kharkiv City and northeastern Kharki...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 11
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Angela Howard Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko August 11, 2022 ANALYSISThe US State Department called on Russian forces to cease all military activity surrounding the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) a...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 9
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Angela Howard Kateryna Stepanenko August 09, 2022 ANALYSISRussian and Ukrainian sources reported a series of large explosions deep within Russian-occupied Kherson Oblast and Crimea on August 9, b...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 8
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Layne Philipson August 08, 2022 ANALYSISWestern and Ukrainian outlets circulated a report, likely false, of a Russian general allegedly threatening to destroy Europe’s largest n...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 7
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Kateryna Stepanenko August 07, 2022 ANALYSISRussian occupation officials may be accelerating their preparations for illegitimate pseudo-referenda on the Russian annexation of occupi...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 6
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Kateryna Stepanenko August 06, 2022 ANALYSISRussian and Ukrainian forces traded accusations of dangerous shelling at the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) on A...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 5
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko August 05, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian officials confirmed that Russia is using Iranian-provided drones in Ukraine.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 3
Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Kateryna Stepanenko August 03, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces are likely using Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) in Enerhodar to play on Western fears of a nuclear disas...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 29
Frederick W. Kagan Katherine Lawlor Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko July 29, 2022 ANALYSISA kinetic event killed and wounded scores of Ukrainian POWs in Russian-occupied Olenivka, Donetsk Oblast, on July 28. Ukraine and Russia ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 28
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Katherine Lawlor Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 28, 2022 ANALYSISThe Russian grouping in Donetsk Oblast is likely seeking to capitalize on recent marginal gains southeast of Bakhmut by continuing to att...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 26
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Katherine Lawlor Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird July 26, 2022 ANALYSISRussian-backed proxy leadership continues to enunciate deadlines for the capture of additional Ukrainian territory, likely to support ong...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 25
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Katherine Lawlor Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird July 25, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces made marginal territorial gains south of Bakhmut on July 25 but are largely suffering from the same fundamental limitation...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 24
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 24, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian officials are increasingly acknowledging Ukrainian counteroffensive operations in Kherson Oblast.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 23
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 23, 2022 ANALYSISUkrainian forces are likely preparing to launch or have launched a counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast as of July 23, but open-source visi...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 22
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 22, 2022 ANALYSISThe United States announced a new $270 million security package for Ukraine, and Ukrainian officials detailed their procedures for keepin...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 21
Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 21, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces conducted a few limited and highly localized ground attacks on July 21. The current Russian operational tempo is not marke...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 20
Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird July 20, 2022 ANALYSISThe current Russian offensive may secure limited additional territorial gains in Donbas northeast of the E40 highway but will likely culm...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 18
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson George Barros Karolina Hird July 18, 2022 ANALYSISRussian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu’s July 18 meeting with the commander of the Eastern group of forces Lieutenant General Rustam Mura...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 17
Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 17, 2022 ANALYSISRussian forces are continuing a measured return from the operational pause and conducted limited ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast on July...