Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 7, 2023 Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko 1 day ago ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 4, 2023 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko 4 days ago ANALYSIS Russian decisive offensive operations are unlikely to target Zaporizhia City from the western Donetsk–Zaporizhia frontline as the Russian...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 31, 2023 Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko January 31, 2023 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 29, 2023 George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko Mason Clark Angela Howard Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kimberly Kagan Frederick W. Kagan January 29, 2023 ANALYSIS This report focuses on the impact of delays in sending high-end weapons systems to Ukraine on Ukraine’s ability to take advantage of wind...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 28, 2023 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros January 28, 2023 ANALYSIS Conventional Russian forces are likely replacing exhausted Wager Group forces to maintain the offensive in Bakhmut after the Wagner Group...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 21, 2023 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird January 21, 2023 ANALYSIS The Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is likely a strategically sound effort despite its costs for Ukraine. While the costs associated with Uk...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 16, 2023 Mason Clark George Barros Grace Mappes Angela Howard Kateryna Stepanenko January 16, 2023 ANALYSIS The Kremlin continues to publicly challenge Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin’s claims that Wagner Group forces were solely respon...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 14, 2023 Mason Clark Angela Howard Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko January 14, 2023 ANALYSIS Russian forces launched two waves of missile strikes targeting Ukrainian critical infrastructure on January
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 13 Mason Clark Madison Williams Angela Howard Riley Bailey George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko January 13, 2023 ANALYSIS The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced on January 13 that Russian forces seized Soledar, Donetsk Oblast, on the evening of Janua...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 2, 2023 Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Angela Howard Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros January 02, 2023 ANALYSIS Ukrainian air defenses reportedly intercepted all drones from two consecutive nights of Russian drone strike attacks against Ukraine on D...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 31 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Madison Williams Angela Howard Riley Bailey December 31, 2022 ANALYSIS Russian President Vladimir Putin’s annual New Year’s Eve address continued to illustrate that Putin is uncertain of his ability to shape ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 29 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Angela Howard December 29, 2022 ANALYSIS Russian forces conducted another massive series of missile strikes against Ukrainian critical infrastructure on December 29. Ukrainian of...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 21 Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Layne Philipson Angela Howard Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros December 21, 2022 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 17 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Riley Bailey December 17, 2022 ANALYSIS The Kremlin is likely attempting to depict Russian President Vladimir Putin as a competent wartime leader and to rehabilitate the image o...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 10 Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Angela Howard Riley Bailey Karolina Hird December 10, 2022 ANALYSIS An unnamed US defense source told The Times that the Pentagon is no longer insisting that Ukraine should not strike military targets with...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 6 Frederick W. Kagan Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Angela Howard December 06, 2022 ANALYSIS The Kremlin directly responded to Russian rumors of a second wave of mobilization in an apparent effort to manage growing societal concer...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 4 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Grace Mappes George Barros December 04, 2022 ANALYSIS Ukrainian officials have indicated that Ukrainian forces plan to continue offensive operations over the coming winter to capitalize on re...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 29 Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Angela Howard Yekaterina Klepanchuk Madison Williams Grace Mappes November 29, 2022 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 26 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird November 26, 2022 ANALYSIS The overall pace of operations along the frontline has slowed in recent days due to deteriorating weather conditions but is likely to inc...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 25 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird November 25, 2022 ANALYSIS Reports of poorly staffed, provisioned, and supplied Russian mobilized personnel are dividing the Russian information space, exposing the...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 19 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko November 19, 2022 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 14 Frederick W. Kagan Madison Williams Yekaterina Klepanchuk Angela Howard Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko November 14, 2022 ANALYSIS The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) escalated claims of Russian territorial gains in Donetsk Oblast on November 13 and 14, likely to em...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 12 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko November 12, 2022 ANALYSIS Russia’s withdrawal from Kherson City is igniting an ideological fracture between pro-war figures and Russian President Vladimir Putin, e...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 5 Mason Clark Angela Howard Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird November 05, 2022 ANALYSIS Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin seeks to obfuscate his efforts to strengthen his independent power base with an appeal to the co...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 24 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Grace Mappes George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko October 24, 2022 ANALYSIS The Kremlin intensified its information operation to accuse Ukraine of preparing to conduct a false-flag attack using a dirty bomb for a ...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 22 Mason Clark Angela Howard Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Katherine Lawlor October 22, 2022 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 10 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Riley Bailey George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko October 10, 2022 ANALYSIS Russian forces conducted a massive missile strike attack against over 20 cities, including Kyiv, on October 10. The Ukrainian General Sta...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 8 Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Angela Howard Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko October 08, 2022 ANALYSIS A large-scale explosion damaged the Kerch Strait Bridge that links occupied Crimea with Russia on October 8.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 17 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko September 17, 2022 ANALYSIS Russian forces continue to conduct meaningless offensive operations around Donetsk City and Bakhmut instead of focusing on defending agai...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 10 Mason Clark Angela Howard George Barros Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko September 11, 2022 ANALYSIS The Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast is routing Russian forces and collapsing Russia’s northern Donbas axis.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 5 Mason Clark Angela Howard Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko September 05, 2022 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 3 Mason Clark George Barros Grace Mappes Angela Howard Karolina Hird September 03, 2022 ANALYSIS Ukrainian officials directly stated that the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive is a methodical operation to intentionally degrade Russia...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 29 Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Angela Howard Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko August 29, 2022 ANALYSIS Ukrainian military officials announced the start of the Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast on August 29. Ukrainian officials re...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 28 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko August 28, 2022 ANALYSIS Russian President Vladimir Putin signed two decrees on August 27 in a reported effort to assist stateless peoples and residents of Donbas...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 26 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 26, 2022 ANALYSIS The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) stated that elements of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) reconnected to the Ukra...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 18 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Katherine Lawlor Angela Howard Layne Philipson Karolina Hird August 18, 2022 ANALYSIS There were no claimed or assessed Russian territorial gains in Ukraine on August 18, 2022 for the first time since July 6, 2022.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 17 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko August 17, 2022 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 16 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko August 16, 2022 ANALYSIS Russian and Ukrainian sources reported explosions at an airfield and a critical Russian supply nexus in Crimea on August 16. Local report...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 15 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Grace Mappes Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko August 15, 2022 ANALYSIS Elements of the Luhansk People’s Republic (LNR) militia reportedly refused to continue fighting in Donetsk Oblast and complained about th...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 13 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 13, 2022 ANALYSIS Ukrainian forces are continuing efforts to disrupt Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) that support Russian forces on the right...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 12 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Katherine Lawlor Angela Howard Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko August 12, 2022 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 11 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Angela Howard Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko August 11, 2022 ANALYSIS The US State Department called on Russian forces to cease all military activity surrounding the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) a...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 10 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Layne Philipson Angela Howard Katherine Lawlor Kateryna Stepanenko August 10, 2022 ANALYSIS
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 9 Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Angela Howard Kateryna Stepanenko August 09, 2022 ANALYSIS Russian and Ukrainian sources reported a series of large explosions deep within Russian-occupied Kherson Oblast and Crimea on August 9, b...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 8 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard George Barros Karolina Hird Katherine Lawlor Layne Philipson August 08, 2022 ANALYSIS Western and Ukrainian outlets circulated a report, likely false, of a Russian general allegedly threatening to destroy Europe’s largest n...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 5 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Katherine Lawlor Karolina Hird Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko August 05, 2022 ANALYSIS Ukrainian officials confirmed that Russia is using Iranian-provided drones in Ukraine.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 4 Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Karolina Hird Layne Philipson Kateryna Stepanenko August 04, 2022 ANALYSIS