Critical Threats

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Whatever it takes to end it: Iran's shift toward more oppressive governance

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Putin's Likely Course of Action in Ukraine - Part 2

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Putin's Likely Course of Action in Ukraine - Part 1

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Africa File: Islamic State bombings in Uganda challenge East Africa counterterrorism response

What's at risk in Ukraine, and why it matters to America and its allies

December 07, 2021

Africa File: Libya foothold creates options for the Islamic State in northwestern Africa

December 09, 2021

Indicators and Thresholds For Russian Military Operations In Ukraine and/or Belarus

November 29, 2021

Over-the-horizon not enough to keep US safe from Afghan terror threat

December 03, 2021

Is the Honeymoon Ending for Iran’s President Raisi?

November 22, 2021

Iran File: US must rethink its deterrence posture against Iran

November 18, 2021

Africa File: Coups and conflicts benefit autocrats and jihadis

November 05, 2021

Iran File: Tehran faces multiple regional crises

October 25, 2021

How ‘diplomacy first’ has failed in Yemen

November 12, 2021

Africa File: Mali–Wagner Group deal threatens counterterrorism gains in the Sahel

October 14, 2021

Critical Threats Project Maps

Iran File: Iran loses optimism for cooperation with Taliban

September 27, 2021

It's a mistake to think some jihadis are only focused on the 'local'

September 23, 2021

Overview: The Salafi-jihadi threat in Africa

October 14, 2021

Africa File: Political instability threatens counterterrorism gains in Maghreb, Sahel, and Horn

September 09, 2021

Iran File: Tehran faces tough choices in Afghanistan

September 02, 2021

Al Qaeda & ISIS 20 Years After 9/11

September 08, 2021

Africa File: African al Qaeda affiliates praise Taliban takeover

August 26, 2021

Afghanistan is set to become a sanctuary for extremists

September 02, 2021

Extend the Afghan mission now, before it's too late

August 23, 2021

Regional Actors Eye Threats and Opportunities in Taliban Takeover

August 20, 2021

Biden Could Have Stopped the Taliban. He Chose Not To.

August 14, 2021

Iran File: Meet the Raisi Administration

August 18, 2021

Iran File: Iran intensifies its escalation around the Strait of Hormuz

August 06, 2021

The Iranian Proxy Response to the US-Iraq Strategic Dialogue

August 10, 2021

Africa File: Ethiopia crisis spreads beyond Tigray

The IRGC’s recently-acquired responsibility for securing nuclear sites may change the Iran-Israel escalation pattern and intra-regime dynamics

Iran File: Iranian Proxies Increase Attacks on US Forces to Catalyze a US Withdrawal from Iraq

Africa File: Terrorism’s rising cost in Africa

The economic cost of terrorism in Africa

Confronting Islamist Insurgencies in Africa: The Case of the Islamic State in Mozambique

The Islamic State Resurges in Mozambique