Ukraine Invasion Updates

Full Story >This page collects the Critical Threats Project (CTP) and the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) updates on the invasion of Ukraine.

Iran after Ali Khamenei: Forecasting Trajectories 

Full Story >This report presents five different scenarios that could emerge in a post-Khamenei Iran.

What Russia’s Failed Coercion of Transnistria Means for the Annexation of Occupied Territory in Ukraine

Full Story >The Kremlin’s failure to coerce Transnistrian leadership could be part of the dynamic, along with recent Ukrainian battlefield successes, driving Moscow to annex occupied territory in Ukraine.