Ukraine Invasion Updates

Full Story >This page collects the Critical Threats Project (CTP) and the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) updates on the invasion of Ukraine.

The Next Salafi-Jihadi Wave: Capabilities, Resources, and Opportunity

Full Story >A new jihadist wave is the last thing Western policymakers want to recognize or prepare for.

By Emily Estelle

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 18

Full Story >Russian forces are continuing to inflict air and artillery strikes on the Azovstal Steel Plant, indicating that a remnant of Ukrainian defense is still in the plant despite evacuations over the last few days.

Ukraine Invasion Updates

The Next Salafi-Jihadi Wave: Capabilities, Resources, and Opportunity

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 18

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 17

Biden Is Right to Send Troops to Somalia, But Political Progress Is Needed

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 16

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 15

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 14

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 13

Africa File: Salafi-Jihadi Groups May Exploit Local Grievances to Expand in West Africa’s Gulf of Guinea

Ukraine Shows the Strength of a Free People

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 12

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 11

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 10

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 9

Relying on ‘over-the-horizon’ counterterrorism increases risk to civilians

Critical Threats Project Maps

Is the Islamic State in Crisis?

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 8

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 6

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 5

Africa File: Malian Army Abuses Will Strengthen Salafi-Jihadis in Central Mali

Ukraine Invasion Update 25

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 3

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 2

How Not to Invade a Nation: Russia’s Attack on Ukraine Is a Case Study in Bad Strategy

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 1

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 30

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 29

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 28

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 27

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 26

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 25

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 24

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 23

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 22

Ukraine Invasion Update 24

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 21

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 20

Africa File: Another Ethiopian Crisis May Overtake the Tigray Conflict

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 19

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 18

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 17

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 16

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 15

Ukraine Invasion Update 23

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 14

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 13

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 12

Ukraine Invasion Update 22

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 11

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 10

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 9

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 8

The problem with a neutral Ukraine: Putin is as bad as his word

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 7

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 6

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 5

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 4

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 3

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 2

Ukraine Invasion Update 21

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 1

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 31

Ukraine can defeat Russia — but the West must help

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 30

Ukraine Invasion Update 20

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 29

Iran File: Can Iranian moderates and reformists threaten Raisi’s chances of becoming supreme leader?

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 28

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 27

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 26

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 25

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 24

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 23

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 22

Ukraine Conflict Update 18

What stalemate means in Ukraine and why it matters