Nicole Wolkov

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Author

163 Results

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 29, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Christina Harward 14 hours ago ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 28, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov 1 day ago ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on September 28. The Ukrainian General Staf...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 23, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros September 23, 2023 ANALYSIS

ISW is now prepared to assess that Ukrainian forces have broken through Russian field fortifications west of Verbove in western Zaporizhi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 22, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward September 22, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 21, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Riley Bailey Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov September 21, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian armored vehicles are operating beyond the final line of the Russian defensive layer that Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhia...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 20, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes September 20, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued offensive actions near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on September 20.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 19, 2023

Mason Clark Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov September 19, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 14, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey September 14, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast and around Bakhmut and reportedly advanced south of Bakhmut ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 13, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey September 13, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 12, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko September 12, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian insider sources claimed that the Kremlin’s inner circle is again actively disagreeing about the necessity of and preparations for...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 18, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Riley Bailey September 11, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 11, 2023

Mason Clark Angelica Evans Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird September 11, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 10, 2023

Mason Clark Karolina Hird Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey September 10, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 6, 2023

Mason Clark Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Christina Harward Karolina Hird September 06, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the Bakhmut and western Zaporizhia Oblast directions and have made gains in wes...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 5, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans Grace Mappes September 05, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continue to advance in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Geolocated footage posted on September 5 shows Russian forces striking...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 4, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Christina Harward Riley Bailey Nicole Wolkov September 04, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 3, 2023

Mason Clark Angelica Evans Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey September 03, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 2, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Christina Harward Riley Bailey September 02, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast and reportedly advanced on September 2.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 1, 2023

Mason Clark Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey September 01, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 29, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko August 29, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 27, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko August 27, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 26, 2023

Mason Clark Christina Harward Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey August 26, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces have made further tactically significant gains in western Zaporizhia Oblast, and several Ukrainian and Russian sources r...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 23, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Grace Mappes Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko August 23, 2023 ANALYSIS

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and founder Dmitry Utkin reportedly died after Russian forces shot down an aircraft transporting...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 22, 2023

Mitchell Belcher Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey August 22, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 21, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko August 21, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces made tactically significant gains in and east of Robotyne in western Zaporizhia Oblast on August 20-21 while continuing ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 20, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey Grace Mappes August 20, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least two sectors of the front and advanced near Robotyne.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 19, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov August 19, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces launched a missile strike during the day on August 19 targeting Chernihiv City center after carrying out a series of Shahe...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 16, 2023

Mason Clark Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans August 16, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 15, 2023

Mason Clark Angelica Evans Christina Harward Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes August 15, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on August 15 and reportedly advanced in Luh...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 14, 2023

Mason Clark Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko August 14, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 13, 2023

Mason Clark Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes August 13, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least two sectors of the front on August 13 and reportedly advanced in the w...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 12, 2023

Mason Clark Riley Bailey Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov August 12, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 9, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Angelica Evans Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Nicole Wolkov August 09, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 8, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans Karolina Hird August 08, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 7, 2023

Mason Clark Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 07, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 6, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov George Barros Riley Bailey August 06, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces struck two key road bridges along critical Russian grounds lines of communication (GLOCs) connecting occupied Crimea and...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 5, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey August 05, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces struck a Russian oil tanker on August 4 with a naval drone in the second attack on Russian ships in the Black Sea in two...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 2, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird August 02, 2023 ANALYSIS

A dispute among prominent voices in the Russian information space highlights the Kremlin’s sensitivity to Russian reporting about setback...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 1, 2023

Mason Clark Annika Ganzeveld Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird August 01, 2023 ANALYSIS

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) accused Ukraine of attempting to attack two Black Sea Fleet patrol boats with unmanned semi-submers...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 30, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey July 30, 2023 ANALYSIS

The lack of Russian milblogger reaction to a Ukrainian strike on the Chonhar bridge represents a notable inflection in Russian reporting ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 29, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey July 29, 2023 ANALYSIS

Segments of the Russian pro-war ultranationalist information space appear to be coalescing around the Kremlin’s narrative effort to portr...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 26, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird July 26, 2023 ANALYSIS

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 25, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Karolina Hird Riley Bailey Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov July 25, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to manifest concern over potential threats that the Wagner Group and its financier Yevgeny Pri...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 24, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 24, 2023 ANALYSIS

Likely Ukrainian forces conducted a drone strike near the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) building in Moscow on July 24.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 23, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Thomas Bergeron Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov George Barros July 23, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin revealed his continuing concern over the potential threats that the Wagner Group and Yevgeny Prigozhin m...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 22, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey July 22, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on July 22. The Ukrainian General Staff rep...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 21, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Angelica Evans George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko July 21, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 18, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Angela Howard Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird July 18, 2023 ANALYSIS

The July 17 Kerch Strait Bridge attack is likely having immediate ramifications on Russian military logistics in southern Ukraine.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 17, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Christina Harward Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Grace Mappes July 17, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 16, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko July 16, 2023 ANALYSIS

The Russian MoD has begun to remove commanders from some of the Russian military’s most combat effective units and formations and appears...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 15, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey July 16, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 14, 2023

Mason Clark Christina Harward Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Riley Bailey July 14, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin further indicated he intends to maintain the Wagner Group as a cohesive fighting force rather than break...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 13, 2023

Mason Clark Christina Harward Kateryna Stepanenko Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey July 13, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 10, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey July 10, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian officials stated on July 10 that Ukrainian forces have fire control over Bakhmut and Russian ground lines of communication (GLO...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 9, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov George Barros Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko July 09, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on July 9.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 8, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angelica Evans George Barros Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird July 08, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 7, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov George Barros Grace Mappes Riley Bailey July 07, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces made tactically significant gains in the Bakhmut area and continued counteroffensive operations in at least three other ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 3, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Grace Mappes July 03, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least four sectors of the front made marginal advances on July 3. The Russia...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 2, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko July 02, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted counteroffensive operations in six sectors of the front on July 2 and made gains in some of these a...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 1, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans George Barros Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko July 01, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least four sectors of the frontline on July 1. ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 29, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey June 29, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 28, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kitaneh Fitzpatrick Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird June 28, 2023 ANALYSIS

Continued reporting about the deal mediated by Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko to end the Wagner Group’s armed rebellion suggest...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 27, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros June 27, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to present Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin as corrupt and a liar to destroy his reput...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 26, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko June 26, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin gave a speech on June 26 seeking to persuade as many Wagner fighters and leaders as possible to join the...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 25, 2023

Mason Clark Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey June 25, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian sources speculated on the specifics of the deal mediated by Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko to end the Wagner Group’s Ju...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 22, 2023

Mason Clark Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko June 22, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2023

Mason Clark Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Riley Bailey June 21, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on June 21. Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minist...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 20, 2023

Mason Clark Angelica Evans Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey June 20, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least two sectors of the front on June 20.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 19, 2023

Mason Clark Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird June 19, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least three sectors of the frontline and made gains on June 19.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 18, 2023

Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Grace Mappes June 18, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 16, 2023

Mason Clark Karolina Hird Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey June 16, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive actions on at least three sectors of the front on June 16 and reportedly made gains. The Ukra...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 14, 2023

Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey June 14, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three directions and made gains on June 14.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 13, 2023

Mason Clark George Barros Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko June 13, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three directions and made further limited territorial gains on June 13.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2023

Mason Clark George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko June 12, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three sectors of the front and made territorial gains on June 12. Ukra...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 11, 2023

Mason Clark George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes June 11, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least three areas of the front and made territorial gains on June 10 and 11.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 9, 2023

Mason Clark Annika Ganzeveld Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey June 09, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 8, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes George Barros Karolina Hird June 08, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukraine has conducted counteroffensive operations with differential outcomes in at least three sectors of the front as part of wider coun...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 7, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko June 07, 2023 ANALYSIS

The destruction of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam is significantly changing the geography and topography of the Kherso...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 6, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey Karolina Hird June 06, 2023 ANALYSIS

Damage to the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam in the early hours of June 6 caused massive flooding of the Dnipro River delt...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 5, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Riley Bailey June 05, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 4, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey June 04, 2023 ANALYSIS

Elements of the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) and Freedom of Russia Legion (LSR) conducted another limited raid...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 1, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey June 01, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 31, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Grace Mappes May 31, 2023 ANALYSIS

The Russian military command has likely ordered Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov’s forces to begin offensive operations in Ukraine fo...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 30, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko May 30, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 29, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird George Barros Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey May 29, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces conducted another series of strikes against Ukraine with cruise missiles and Iranian-made drones overnight on May 28 to 29...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 28, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko May 28, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces conducted the largest Shahed drone strike against Ukraine since the start of the war overnight on May 27-28. The Ukrainian...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 26, 2023

Mason Clark Kateryna Stepanenko Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey May 26, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 25, 2023

Mason Clark Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird May 25, 2023 ANALYSIS

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin announced on May 25 that the Wagner Group began handing over its positions in Bakhmut to the Rus...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 24, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey May 24, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 23, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes May 23, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian authorities ended the “counterterrorism” operation in Belgorod Oblast and claimed to have defeated the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 22, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird May 22, 2023 ANALYSIS

Elements of the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) and Freedom of Russia Legion (LSR) conducted a raid into Belgorod...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 19, 2023

Mason Clark Layne Philipson Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey May 19, 2023 ANALYSIS

A Ukrainian official stated that Russian forces have concentrated most of their available reserves to the Bakhmut area and slowed Ukraini...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 18, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko May 18, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 17, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Grace Mappes May 17, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian and Ukrainian officials acknowledged continued limited Ukrainian counterattacks near Bakhmut on May 17.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 16, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey May 16, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 13, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey May 13, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces continue to counterattack in the Bakhmut area amid unconfirmed claims of further marginal Ukrainian gains southwest of t...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 12, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird May 12, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces have made gains northwest of Bakhmut in localized counterattacks as of May 12. Geolocated footage posted on May 12 shows...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 11, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko May 11, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces likely broke through some Russian lines in localized counterattacks near Bakhmut, prompting responses from Wagner Group ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 10, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Karolina Hird May 10, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces conducted successful limited counterattacks around Bakhmut on May 9.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 9, 2023

Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko May 09, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 8, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes May 08, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces conducted another large-scale missile and drone strike against Ukraine on the night of May 7 to 8. The Ukrainian General S...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 5, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird May 05, 2023 ANALYSIS

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) appears to have deprioritized the Bakhmut offensive in favor of preparing to defend against an anti...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 4, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Riley Bailey May 04, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russia conducted another Shahed-131/136 strike against Ukraine on May 4. Ukrainian military sources reported that Russian forces launched...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 3, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird May 03, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 29, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Angela Howard April 29, 2023 ANALYSIS

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin threatened to withdraw Wagner forces from Bakhmut if the Russian military command fails to provi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 26, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird April 26, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russia appears to be continuing a deliberate depopulation campaign in occupied areas of Ukraine in order to facilitate the repopulation o...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 25, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko April 25, 2023 ANALYSIS

Senior US and EU officials assess that Russian President Vladimir Putin would remain unwilling to negotiate in response to a successful U...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 24, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes April 24, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian milbloggers speculated that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered additional military command changes on April 20. A prominent...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 19, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird April 19, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 18, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko April 18, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to portray himself as a wartime leader in anticipation of a planned Ukrainian counteroffensive...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 17, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird April 17, 2023 ANALYSIS

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is seemingly regaining some favor with Russian President Vladimir Putin, likely as a result of t...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 16, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Grace Mappes Karolina Hird April 16, 2023 ANALYSIS

The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (UK MoD) reported on April 16 that it is highly likely that VDV commander Colonel General Mikhail ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 15, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Karolina Hird Riley Bailey George Barros April 15, 2023 ANALYSIS

Reporting from some Western sources that Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin called for Russia to end its war against Ukraine is ina...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 12, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird April 12, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 11, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird George Barros Grace Mappes April 11, 2023 ANALYSIS

The Kremlin passed legislation to use tools of digital authoritarianism to digitize and improve the effectiveness of issuing summonses an...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 10, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko April 10, 2023 ANALYSIS

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is reportedly advancing his political aspirations by seeking to gain control of a Russian politi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 8, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird April 08, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 7, 2023

Mason Clark George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird April 07, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian milbloggers responded with speculative anxiety to reportedly leaked (and possibly altered) classified US military documents about...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 4, 2023

Mason Clark Angela Howard Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros Riley Bailey April 04, 2023 ANALYSIS

The Kremlin will likely attempt to coerce Belarus into further Union State integration when Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 3, 2023

Mason Clark Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird April 03, 2023 ANALYSIS

Wagner Group fighters made further advances in central Bakhmut and seized the Bakhmut City Administration Building on the night of April ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 1, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey April 01, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 31, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Karolina Hird Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov George Barros Riley Bailey March 31, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin approved a new Russian Foreign Policy Concept on March 31 that likely aims to support the Kremlin’s atte...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 30, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov George Barros Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko March 30, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree on March 30 authorizing Russia’s semiannual spring conscription which will induct 147,00...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 29, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Riley Bailey March 29, 2023 ANALYSIS

Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Moscow on March 29 to review...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 25, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Angela Howard March 25, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 24, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird March 24, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 23, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko March 23, 2023 ANALYSIS

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin has softened his rhetoric towards the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) likely out fear of compl...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 22, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Grace Mappes George Barros Riley Bailey March 22, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 21, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird March 21, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be setting conditions to weaponize the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) as a method of ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 20, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Angela Howard Riley Bailey March 20, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces made marginal gains in and around Bakhmut amid a reported increase in the tempo of Russian operations around Avdiivka. Rus...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 16, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov George Barros Angela Howard Riley Bailey Karolina Hird March 16, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 15, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird March 15, 2023 ANALYSIS

The overall pace of Russian operations in Ukraine appears to have decreased compared to previous weeks. Spokesperson for the Ukrainian Jo...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 14, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird March 14, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 11, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Nicole Wolkov George Barros Karolina Hird Riley Bailey March 11, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances within Bakhmut on March 11. Ukrainian and Russian sources continue to report heavy fig...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 10, 2023

Mason Clark George Barros Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Riley Bailey Karolina Hird March 10, 2023 ANALYSIS

US intelligence warned that individuals with ties to Russian intelligence may be planning to attempt to instigate an insurrection in Mold...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 7, 2023

Mason Clark George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird March 07, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 6, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird March 06, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian authorities indicated that Ukraine will continue to defend Bakhmut for now.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 5, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey Grace Mappes March 05, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces are likely conducting a limited tactical withdrawal in Bakhmut, although it is still too early to assess Ukrainian inten...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 4, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan George Barros Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Riley Bailey Karolina Hird March 04, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces appear to have secured a sufficient positional advantage to conduct a turning movement against certain parts of Bakhmut bu...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 3, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird March 03, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian forces appear to be setting conditions for a controlled fighting withdrawal from parts of Bakhmut. Russian forces have been fig...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Nicole Wolkov George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 28, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 27, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson George Barros Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Karolina Hird February 27, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 25, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Kateryna Stepanenko Grace Mappes Riley Bailey February 25, 2023 ANALYSIS

UK, French, and German officials are reportedly preparing a NATO-Ukraine pact that falls far short of the protections Ukraine would recei...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 23, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Riley Bailey February 23, 2023 ANALYSIS

The Kremlin appears to be setting conditions for false flag operations on the Chernihiv Oblast international border and in Moldova ahead ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 22, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko February 22, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin revived his imperialistic narrative that Russia is fighting for Russia's "historic frontiers" on Februar...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 21, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Angela Howard Nicole Wolkov George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird February 21, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s February 21 address to the Russian Federal Assembly did not articulate specific goals or intentions fo...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 20, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey February 20, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 18, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard George Barros Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko February 18, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 17, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Karolina Hird George Barros Riley Bailey February 17, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 16, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov George Barros Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 16, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces conducted another missile strike on infrastructure facilities throughout Ukraine on February 16. The Ukrainian General Sta...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 15, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Kitaneh Fitzpatrick Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov George Barros Kateryna Stepanenko Riley Bailey February 15, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russia’s costly military campaign in Ukraine has likely significantly depleted Russian equipment and manpower reserves necessary to susta...

Iran Update, February 15, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Amin Soltani Annika Ganzeveld Kitaneh Fitzpatrick February 15, 2023 ANALYSIS

Protest coordinators have likely strengthened their organizational capabilities and internal infrastructure ahead of calls for anti-regim...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 14, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko George Barros February 14, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 13, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Nicole Wolkov Grace Mappes Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird February 14, 2023 ANALYSIS

Moscow continues to leverage its relationship with Iran to provide military support for the war in Ukraine.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 10, 2023

Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson George Barros Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 10, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 8, 2023

Mason Clark Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird February 08, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces have regained the initiative in Ukraine and have begun their next major offensive in Luhansk Oblast. The pace of Russian o...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 7, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko February 07, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 6, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson George Barros Grace Mappes Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko February 06, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian officials assess that Russian forces are preparing to launch a large-scale decisive offensive in eastern Ukraine in mid-to-late...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 1, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko February 01, 2023 ANALYSIS

Ukrainian officials are continuing to warn about Russia’s intention of conducting a decisive offensive operation in Donbas in February an...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 31, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Angela Howard Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko January 31, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 30, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Kitaneh Fitzpatrick George Barros Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Karolina Hird January 30, 2023 ANALYSIS

Western, Ukrainian, and Russian sources continue to indicate that Russia is preparing for an imminent offensive, supporting ISW’s assessm...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 27, 2023

Frederick W. Kagan Nicole Wolkov Layne Philipson George Barros Riley Bailey Karolina Hird Kateryna Stepanenko January 27, 2023 ANALYSIS

Kremlin insiders reportedly told Bloomberg that Russian President Vladimir Putin is preparing a new offensive to regain the initiative th...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 26, 2023

Nicole Wolkov Frederick W. Kagan Layne Philipson Grace Mappes Riley Bailey Kateryna Stepanenko Karolina Hird January 26, 2023 ANALYSIS

Russian forces launched another massive series of missile and drone strikes across Ukraine on January 26.

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