Analysis

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Warning Update: Threats to Mali’s Elections Reveal Weakness of U.S. Security Policy in West Africa

Emily Estelle July 27, 2018 ANALYSIS

The U.S. has core security interests at stake in the Sahel, many of which have roots in Mali

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America Ignores Africa to Its Peril

Emily Estelle July 24, 2018 ANALYSIS

Washington needs to counter the spread of terrorists and rival powers before it's too late.

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Iran's Hardliners Will Be the First Winners of the Protest Movement

Nicholas Carl July 02, 2018 ANALYSIS

The Iranian regime is going nowhere fast.

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Iranian Protests Turn Deadly Again

Mike Saidi June 30, 2018 ANALYSIS

Khorramshahr is experiencing the deadliest protests Iran has seen since the 2017 December demonstrations.

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Warning Update: Oil Battle Returns Libya to the Brink

Emily Estelle June 18, 2018 ANALYSIS

A strategy reliant on elite agreements and elections will not succeed in an environment in which armed groups can seize power at will.

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The Assault on al Hudaydah: Surfacing America’s Partnership Problems

Katherine Zimmerman June 13, 2018 ANALYSIS

The United States needs it partners much more now than they need the U.S.

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Ahem: Iran still has troops in Syria on Israel’s northern border

Mike Saidi June 07, 2018 ANALYSIS

The Iranian regime wants to have their troops near the Israeli border – and are comfortable lying about it.

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2018 Red Sea Coast Offensive

Katherine Zimmerman Maher Farrukh June 05, 2018 ANALYSIS

A UAE-backed Yemeni offensive secured the main road to al Hudaydah but it's unclear whether or when an assault on al Hudaydah city and po...

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The Never-Ending War on Terror

Katherine Zimmerman May 11, 2018 ANALYSIS

Why the U.S. Keeps Fighting the Wrong Battle

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Al Shabaab’s Vehicle-Borne IED Campaign: January 2017–March 2018

Matthew Cassidy April 13, 2018 ANALYSIS

Al Shabaab’s vehicle-borne improvised explosive attacks serve as a metric to evaluate the group’s ability to disrupt the Somali National ...

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Libya Update: Exit the General?

Emily Estelle April 11, 2018 ANALYSIS

The incapacitation or death of Libyan warlord Khalifa Haftar could change the balance of power in the country.

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Let's get real: It's time to move on from the Putin-dominated UN

Frederick W. Kagan March 16, 2018 ANALYSIS

The United Nations has once again lost its power to act.

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The United States must take swift action to stop Russia’s aggression

Catherine Harris Frederick W. Kagan March 07, 2018 ANALYSIS

Vladimir Putin is distracting Western leaders from the real threat Russia poses through ostentatious displays of nuclear and conventional...

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Russia's Military Posture: Ground Forces Order of Battle

Catherine Harris Frederick W. Kagan March 07, 2018 ANALYSIS

U.S. leaders and their European allies are unprepared for the ways in which Putin is poised to wage war in Ukraine and the Baltic.

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The New Scramble for Africa

Jacqulyn Meyer Kantack February 26, 2018 ANALYSIS

The modern scramble for Africa is intensifying.

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A Comprehensive Look at the Iranian Anti-Regime Protests

Daniel Amir Mike Saidi February 22, 2018 ANALYSIS

The Iranian protest scene has changed since the late December-early January anti-regime protests, which spread to over 100 cities and eac...

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What the Gonabadi Dervish protests tell us about Iran's protest scene

Mike Saidi February 21, 2018 ANALYSIS

A Sufi Muslim minority group’s violent protest in Tehran may result in the reignition of protests in Iran, although it has not yet done so.

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Seven years after the revolution, America is still wrong about Libya

Emily Estelle February 21, 2018 ANALYSIS

Seven years after Libya’s revolution, the country is a failed state with a humanitarian crisis and a serious threat to US national security.

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2017 - 2018 Iranian Anti-Regime Protests and Security Flaws: Graphics

Mike Saidi January 19, 2018 ANALYSIS

Anti-regime protests in Iran began in Mashhad, Khorasan Razavi Province on December 28, 2017 and soon spread westward. The peak of the pr...

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Why Did the U.S. Sanction Iran's Sadegh Amoli Larijani?

Marie Donovan January 12, 2018 ANALYSIS

The same day that President Trump announced he would continue waiving U.S. nuclear sanctions, the administration also announced sanctioni...