Ukraine Invasion Updates

Full Story >This page collects the Critical Threats Project (CTP) and the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) updates on the invasion of Ukraine.

The Next Salafi-Jihadi Wave: Capabilities, Resources, and Opportunity

Full Story >A new jihadist wave is the last thing Western policymakers want to recognize or prepare for.

By Emily Estelle

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 3

Full Story >Russian forces have likely secured the Luhansk Oblast border, although pockets of Ukrainian resistance may remain in and around Lysychansk. Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu announced that Russian forces have captured Luhansk Oblast on July 3, after seizing Lysychansk and settlements on the ...

By Frederick W. Kagan & Grace Mappes

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Ukraine Invasion Updates

The Next Salafi-Jihadi Wave: Capabilities, Resources, and Opportunity

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 3

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 1

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 30

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 29

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 28

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 27

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 26

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 25

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 24

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 23

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 22

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 20

Salafi-Jihadi Global Tracker: Assessing the Islamic State’s Role in the Owo Church Massacre in Nigeria

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 19

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 18

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 17

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 16

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 15

The Houthis Still Have the Upper Hand in Yemen

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 14

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 13

Iran File: Iran and Turkey face off in Iraq

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 11

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 10

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 9

Despite Ukraine, we must not forget other atrocities

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 8

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 7

The New Russian Offensive Is Intended to Project Power It Cannot Sustain

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 5

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 4

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 3

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 2

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 1

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 31

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 30

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 29

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 28

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 27

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 26

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 25

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 24

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 23

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 22

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 21

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 20

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 19

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 18

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 17

Biden Is Right to Send Troops to Somalia, But Political Progress Is Needed

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 16

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 15

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 14

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 13

Africa File: Salafi-Jihadi Groups May Exploit Local Grievances to Expand in West Africa’s Gulf of Guinea

Ukraine Shows the Strength of a Free People

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 12

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 11

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 10

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 9

Relying on ‘over-the-horizon’ counterterrorism increases risk to civilians

Critical Threats Project Maps

Is the Islamic State in Crisis?

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 8

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 6

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 5

Africa File: Malian Army Abuses Will Strengthen Salafi-Jihadis in Central Mali

Ukraine Invasion Update 25

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 3

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 2

How Not to Invade a Nation: Russia’s Attack on Ukraine Is a Case Study in Bad Strategy

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 1

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 30

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 29