Annika Ganzeveld

Iran Update, April 28, 2024

IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi approved operational plans “for the continuation of the war” during a visit to IDF Southern Command on Ap...

Iran Update, April 27, 2024

Iran Update, April 24, 2024

Iran Update, April 23, 2024

Hamas military spokesperson Abu Obeida called on April 23 for the anti-Israel protest movement in Jordan to escalate.[i] Abu Obeida calle...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 23, 2024

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu highlighted ongoing Russian offensive operations near Chasiv Yar, Avdiivka, and Donetsk City and a...

Iran Update, April 22, 2024

Iran Update, April 19, 2024

Why You Can’t Be an Iran Hawk and a Russia Dove

Iran Update, April 17, 2024

Iran Update, April 16, 2024

Iran Update, April 13, 2024

Iran Update, April 10, 2024

Bloomberg reported on April 10 that Iran or its proxies may conduct missile or drone strikes targeting military and government facilities...

Iran Update, April 9, 2024

IRGC Navy Commander Rear Adm. Ali Reza Tangsiri implicitly threatened the United Arab Emirates (UAE) during an interview with Lebanese He...

Iran Update, April 8, 2024

Iran Update, April 7, 2024

Iran Update, April 4, 2024

Iran Update, April 3, 2024

Iran Update, April 2, 2024

A prominent Iranian-backed Iraqi militia threatened to create and arm a new Iranian proxy in Jordan, which may reflect a greater, more co...

Iran Update, March 30, 2024

Northern Gaza Strip: The IDF Air Force struck Palestinian fighters and militia infrastructure in the northern Gaza Strip. Southern Gaza ...

Iran Update, March 29, 2024

Iranian Armed Forces General Staff (AFGS) Chief Maj. Gen. Mohammad Bagheri met with Hamas Political Bureau Chairman Ismail Haniyeh in Teh...

Iran Update, March 27, 2024

Iran Update, March 24, 2024

Iran Update, March 21, 2024

Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) and other Palestinian militias cooperating against Israel have likely established at least one cell in Je...

Iran Update, March 20, 2024

Iran Update, March 19, 2024

The Leadership and Purpose of Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces

Iran Update, March 18, 2024

Iran Update, March 17, 2024

Iran Update, March 13, 2024

Iran Update, March 2, 2024

Iran Update, February 29, 2024

Iran Update, February 26, 2024

The Israel Defense Forces announced that its 162nd Division uncovered a Hamas tunnel network connecting the Central Gaza Governorate to t...

Iran Update, February 24, 2024

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) continued clearing operations in Zaytoun neighborhood, southeastern Gaza City.

Iran Update, February 20, 2024

Russia may be setting conditions to supplant the United States as a security partner in Iraq in anticipation of the United States possibl...

Iran Update, February 18, 2024

Iran Update, February 15, 2024

Iran Update, February 14, 2024

Iran Update, February 12, 2024

Ukraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate reported that elements of Lebanese Hezbollah and the IRGC are training Russian drone ope...

Iran Update, February 11, 2024

Iran Update, February 5, 2024

Iran Update, February 4, 2024

Iran Update, February 1, 2024

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) continued to operate in the northern Gaza Strip. The commander of the IDF Southern Command met with divis...

Iran Update, January 30, 2024

Iran Update, January 29, 2024

Iran Update, January 27, 2024

Iran Update, January 26, 2024

Iran Update, January 25, 2024

The United States and the Iraqi federal government will soon begin negotiations on Iraq's current security arrangement with US-led coalit...

Iran Update, January 24, 2024

Iran Update, January 20, 2024

Israeli forces clashed with Palestinian fighters in eastern Jabalia on January 20. The al Qassem brigades fired small arms and Yasin-105 ...

Iran Update, January 19, 2024

Iran Update, January 18, 2024

Iran Update, January 17, 2024

Iran Update, January 15, 2024

Iran Update, January 14, 2024

Iran Update, January 11, 2024

Palestinian militias claimed several attacks in the northern Gaza Strip on January 11. The military wing of Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PI...

Iran Update, January 10, 2024

Iran Update, January 9, 2024

Iran Update, January 8, 2024

Iran Update, January 5, 2024

Iran Update, January 4, 2024

Iran Update, January 2, 2024

Israeli forces are transitioning to the third phase of their operations in the northern Gaza Strip, which will very likely enable Hamas t...

Iran Update, December 30, 2023

Iran Update, December 28, 2023

Iran Update, December 27, 2023

Iran Update, December 26, 2023

Iran Update, December 21, 2023

Iran Update, December 20, 2023

Israeli forces are transitioning from clearing operations to holding operations in some areas of the northern Gaza Strip. Israeli forces ...

Iran Update, December 19, 2023

Iran Update, December 18, 2023

Iran Update, December 13, 2023

Iran Update, December 12, 2023

Palestinian militias are attempting to resist Israeli advances north and east of Khan Younis. The IDF Arabic-language spokesperson reiter...

Iran Update, December 11, 2023

Iran Update, December 8, 2023

Iran Update, December 7, 2023

Iran Update, December 6, 2023

Iran Update, December 5, 2023

Palestinian militia fighters continued to use more sophisticated tactics to target Israeli forces throughout the Gaza Strip on December 5...

Iran Update, December 4, 2023

Israel continued conducting clearing operations in the northern Gaza Strip to encircle Hamas in Shujaiya neighborhood and Jabalia city.

Iran Update, December 2, 2023

Iran Update, December 1, 2023

Iran Update, November 30, 2023

CTP and ISW have refocused the update to cover the Israel-Hamas war.

Iran Update, November 29, 2023

Iran Update, November 26, 2023

Iran Update, November 25, 2023

Hamas released a second round of hostages after Hamas accused Israel of violating the humanitarian pause agreement and threatened to dela...

Iran Update, November 24, 2023

Iran Update, December 24, 2023

Iran Update, November 22, 2023

Iran Update, November 21, 2023

Israel said its forces encircled Jabalia as Palestinian militias conducted attacks on the Israeli lines of advance.

Iran Update, November 20, 2023

Iran Update, November 17, 2023

Iran Update, November 16, 2023

Iran Update, November 14, 2023

Iran Update, November 11, 2023

Iran Update, November 10, 2023

Iran Update, November 13, 2023

Israel is pressuring Hamas to surrender its position inside the al Shifa Hospital.

Iran Update, November 7, 2023

CTP and ISW have refocused the update to cover the Israel-Hamas war.

Iran Update, November 6, 2023

Iran Update, November 5, 2023

Iran Update, November 3, 2023

Iran Update, November 1, 2023

Lebanese Hezbollah-affiliated al Mayadeen reported that an Israeli armored unit advanced from the northwestern Gaza Strip south along the...

Iran Update, October 31, 2023

Iran Update, October 30, 2023

The Iran Update provides insights into Iranian and Iranian-sponsored activities abroad that undermine regional stability and threaten US ...

Iran Update, October 28, 2023

Palestinian militias continued attacks at their usual rate from the Gaza Strip into Israel.

Iran Update, October 27, 2023

Iran Update, October 25, 2023

Iran and its so-called “Axis of Resistance” are pursuing a coordinated strategy to (1) deter Israel from trying to destroy Hamas in the G...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 26, 2023

Iran Update, October 26, 2023

Iran Update, October 24, 2023

Iran Update, October 20, 2023

Palestinian militias continued indirect fire from the Gaza Strip into Israel on October 20. Hamas also released two American hostages hel...

Iran Update, October 19, 2023

CTP and ISW have refocused the update to cover the Israel-Hamas war.

Iran Update, October 17, 2023

CTP and ISW have refocused the update to cover the Israel-Hamas war.

Iran Update, October 16, 2023

Palestinian militias continued drone and indirect fire attacks into Israel, primarily southern Israel, on October 15. The rate of small a...

Iran Update, October 14, 2023

Hamas continued its ground and rocket attacks into Israel, primarily southern Israel.

Iran Update, October 12, 2023

Iran Update, October 11, 2023

Iran Update, October 9, 2023

Iran Update, October 4, 2023

IRGC personnel backfilled a formerly Wagner-held position in Sukhnah in central Syria on September 28, supporting Iranian efforts to esta...

Iran Update, September 27, 2023

Iran Update, September 13, 2023

Iran Update, September 12, 2023

1. Iran has successfully extracted some security concessions from Iraq, which will likely reduce the threat Iranian leaders perceive eman...

Iran Update, September 11, 2023

Iran Update, September 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 8, 2023

Iran Update, September 7, 2023

Iran Update, September 6, 2023

Russia directed local tribes to attack the US-led International Coalition and Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in eastern Syria likely part...

Iran Update, September 5, 2023

1. Syrian regime forces are financially exploiting the displacement of civilians amid clashes in Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF)-controlle...

Iran Update, September 1, 2023

Iran Update, August 31, 2023

Iran Update, August 30, 2023

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian met with several Syrian officials in Damascus on August 30 to discuss economic cooperat...

Iran Update, August 25, 2023

Iran Update, August 24, 2023

Iran Update, August 23, 2023

At least 16 anti-regime protests occurred in the southern Syrian provinces of Suwayda and Daraa on August 23.

Iran Update, August 22, 2023

Iran Update, August 21, 2023

Anti-regime protests in southern Syria have continued to expand, despite the beginning of the work week.

Iran Update, August 18, 2023

Iran Update, August 17, 2023

Syrians demonstrated against worsening economic conditions and the Syrian regime’s mismanagement of the economy across the country. Iran...

Iran Update, August 16, 2023

Iran Update, August 15, 2023

Iran and the Syrian regime shifted their state-run information operation from the false claim that US forces will imminently attack Syria...

Iran Update, August 14, 2023

Iran Update, August 11, 2023

Iran Update, August 10, 2023

Syrian President Bashar al Assad downplayed the importance of relations with the Arab states while stressing relations with Iran and Russ...

Iran Update, August 9, 2023

Iran Update, August 8, 2023

Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah continued to circulate false claims that the US-led International Coalition is preparing to attack Syrian reg...

Iran Update, August 7, 2023

Iranian-backed militia Ashab al Kahf called on August 5 for protests outside the US embassy in Baghdad. These calls come as Ashab al Kahf...

Iran Update, August 4, 2023

Iran Update, August 3, 2023

Iran Update, August 2, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 1, 2023

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) accused Ukraine of attempting to attack two Black Sea Fleet patrol boats with unmanned semi-submers...

Iran Update, August 1, 2023

Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and Shin Bet announced it thwarted the smuggling of “anomalous” weapons from northern Jordan into Israel duri...

Iran Update, July 27, 2023

Iran-backed militias withdrew from unspecified positions in Deir ez Zor Province and redeployed to the Syrian desert near the Iraq-Syria ...

Iran Update, July 26, 2023

Iran Update, July 25, 2023

Iranian media and officials highlighted the addition of the Abu Mahdi land attack cruise missile to Iran’s naval arsenal to signal Iran’s...

Iran Update, July 24, 2023

The buildup of Iranian-backed forces in eastern Syria is possibly causing local anti-Iran and anti-Shia discontent.

Iran Update, July 21, 2023

Iran Update, July 20, 2023

Iran Update, July 19, 2023

Iran and Russia are amplifying rumors of International Coalition attacks into Syrian regime territory likely as part of a campaign to exp...

Iran Update, July 18, 2023

Russia accused the United States of preparing false flag chemical weapons attacks Syria, possibly supporting the joint Russian-Syrian-Ira...

Iran Update, July 17, 2023

Iran Update, July 14, 2023

1. Iranian-backed militias raised salaries for standard militia members in Mayadin and Albu Kamal Cities, Deir ez Zor Province by 13 perc...

Iran Update, July 11, 2023

Iranian-backed militias and Syrian regime forces are continuing to reinforce their positions in Deir ez Zor Province in response to rumor...

Iran Update, July 10, 2023

Iranian-backed militias and Syrian regime forces deployed to Deir ez Zor in response to rumors of an imminent International Coalition att...

Iran Update, July 6, 2023

Iran bolstered Lebanese Hezbollah’s (LH’s) air defense capabilities likely to establish a deterrent in Lebanon against Israel. Palestini...

Iran Update, July 5, 2023

Iran Update, June 30, 2023 

Iran Update, June 26, 2023

1. Iran is framing the US-led international coalition in Syria as an imminent security threat to local Syrians, possibly to incite and su...

Iran Update, June 23, 2023

Iran Update, June 22, 2023

Iran Update, June 21, 2023

1. The Syrian regime is leveraging regional normalization with Arab states to fund the reconstruction of Syria’s railways, which could bl...

Iran Update, June 20, 2023

An IRGC-affiliated news outlet tracked a US-Iraqi logistics convoy, possibly to signal Iranian intent to direct an attack on US interests...

Iran Update, June 16, 2023

1). Iran may have directed its Iraqi proxies to deescalate their rhetoric against US forces in Iraq. This is consistent with one of CTP’s...

Iran Update, June 13, 2023

Lebanese Hezbollah provided drone training for Iranian-backed militias in eastern Syria. Iranian-backed militias could use these drones t...

Iran Update, June 12, 2023

Key Takeaways: 1. Iranian officials are promoting reports of resumed nuclear negotiations with the United States likely to generate short...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 9, 2023

Iran Update, June 9, 2023

Iran Update, June 7, 2023

Iranian and Russian military officials met to discuss expelling the United States from Syria, which may indicate Russia’s intent to help ...

Iran Update, June 5, 2023

Iran Update, June 2, 2023

Key Takeaways 1). Iran is training its militias in Syria to use a range of improvised and advanced weapons to attack US personnel in S...

Iran Update, May 31, 2023

Iran has bolstered its defensive position in eastern Syria since the end of the escalation cycle that occurred in March, likely to facili...

Iran Update, May 30, 2023

Iran Update, May 24, 2023

Iran Update, May 23, 2023

Iran and Iranian-backed militias facilitated the travel of Iranian religious pilgrims into Syria, possibly to expand Iranian influence in...

Iran Update, May 18, 2023

Iran Update, May 16, 2023

Iran Update, May 15, 2023

Iranian leaders are stoking conflict between Israel and Palestinian militias, likely to enable the IRGC to transfer military equipment in...

Iran Update, May 8, 2023

Iran is maneuvering to economically benefit from Syria’s reintegration into the region, which may enable Iran to circumvent US and intern...

Iran Update, May 5, 2023

Attacks on Iranian clerics increased during the past month, which may reflect broader public antipathy to the regime's sociocultural and ...

Iran Update, May 4, 2023

The Iranian regime is seeking to take advantage of political and economic developments in Syria and Iraq to improve the Iranian economy a...

Iran Update, May 3, 2023

Iran Update, May 2, 2023

Iran Update, May 1, 2023

Iranian leadership dismissed several economic officials and emphasized fighting corruption between April 27 and May 1 to improve Iran’s e...

Iran Update, April 28, 2023

Iran Update, April 27, 2023

The domestic Iranian information space is currently shaped such that violence against religious figures is being viewed as part of escala...

Iran Update, April 26, 2023

An unidentified man shot and killed Shia cleric and Assembly of Experts member Ayatollah Abbas Ali Soleimani in a bank in Babolsar, Mazan...

Iran Update, April 25, 2023

Qom Provincial Governor Mohammad Taghi Shah Cheraghi stated that the provincial government should take “negative measures” against unveil...

Iran Update, April 24, 2023

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei briefly lost control of his audience during a speech to Basij students on April 18, indicating the degree to ...

Iran Update, April 21, 2023

Former President Hassan Rouhani has made national referenda the focus of the Iranian political discourse, forcing the regime into a compl...

Iran Update, April 20, 2023

The IRGC is conducting a media campaign against former President Hassan Rouhani likely to alienate him further from the political establi...

Iran Update, April 19, 2023

Iran Update, April 18, 2023

Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf met with several key regime powerbrokers on April 18, possibly to promote a pragmatic hardlin...

Iran Update, April 17, 2023

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al Sudani has allowed Iran—via its proxies—to expand its military influence in Iraq, specifically Kirk...

Iran Update, April 14, 2023

Iran Update, April 13, 2023

Iran Update, April 12, 2023

Iran Update, April 11, 2023

Iran Update, April 10, 2023

Palestinian militants expanded rocket attacks into Israel from southern Lebanon and the Gaza Strip to the Golan Heights. Palestinian mili...

Iran Update, April 7, 2023

Hamas and Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) have indicated that they seek to contain and deescalate their recent flareup with Israel—at least for t...

Iran Update, April 6, 2023

Hamas conducted a large-scale rocket attack from southern Lebanon into Israel on April 6 possibly as part of the larger pattern of escala...

Iran Update, April 5, 2023

Iran Update, April 4, 2023

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei reaffirmed his commitment to enforcing the mandatory hijab law during a meeting with senior regime officials ...

Iran Update, April 3, 2023

The Israel Defense Force conducted an airstrike targeting at least two Iranian-backed militia bases in western Syria on April 1, 2023. Un...

Iran Update, March 31, 2023

Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted airstrikes in Damascus, Syria on March 30 that resulted in the death of senior IRGC official Milad ...

Iran Update, March 30, 2023

Iran and its proxies may target US forces in Syria in retaliation for multiple Israeli airstrikes on Iranian and Iranian-backed forces in...

Iran Update, March 29, 2023

Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian alluded to Iranian involvement in the recent attacks on US bases in Syria durin...

Iran Update, March 28, 2023

Iran Update, March 27, 2023

Iran Update, March 23, 2023

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has trapped the Iranian regime by focusing public and government attention on improving the economy—an issue ...

Iran Update, March 22, 2023

Iran Update, March 21, 2023

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei shut down intra-regime debates about political reform to address protester grievances and instead confined th...

Iran Update, March 20, 2023

Iranian security leaders have announced in recent days that they will resume enforcing the mandatory hijab law with a confrontational app...

Iran Update, March 17, 2023

Some Iranian leaders continue to refuse to make the necessary changes that will meaningfully address popular frustrations.

Iran Update, March 16, 2023

Iran Update, March 15, 2023

Hardline officials are promoting conservative reforms, which will likely generate additional calls for political change in Iran. Hardline...

Iran Update, March 14, 2023

Iran Update, March 13, 2023

Iran Update, March 10, 2023

The Iranian regime is continuing efforts to dissuade Iranian citizens from celebrating Chahar Shanbeh Souri to forestall potential protes...

Iran Update, March 9, 2023

The Iranian regime likely assesses that it is losing its cultural campaign for Iranian women. Iranian women are reportedly defying the ma...

Iran Update, March 8, 2023

Iran Update, March 7, 2023

Iran Update, March 6, 2023

Over 110 separate student poisonings occurred throughout Iran on March 6.[i] Some have framed these incidents as “mass hysteria.” They ar...

Iran Update, March 5, 2023

The Iranian regime has permitted the country-wide, coordinated attacks on Iranian schoolgirls to escalate.

Iran Update, March 3, 2023

Prominent Sunni cleric Moulana Abdol Hamid suggested that the Iranian regime may be responsible for or complicit in the recent chemical a...

Iran Update, March 2, 2023

Iran Update, March 1, 2023

CTP assesses with moderate confidence that the Iranian regime is tolerating a country-wide, coordinated campaign to poison Iranian school...

Iran Update, February 28, 2023

Iran Update, February 27, 2023

Iran Update, February 24, 2023

Iranian regime security forces escalated against prominent Sunni cleric Moulana Abdol Hamid on February 24 after months of relative restr...

Iran Update, February 23, 2023

Iran Update, February 22, 2023

Growing elements of the regime are publicly recognizing that the Islamic Republic has lost the confidence of its people as Iran faces a p...

Iran Update, February 21, 2023

The Mahsa Amini protest movement has likely entered a new phase, although it is unclear what pattern of anti-regime activity will charact...

Iran Update, February 17, 2023

Iran Update, February 16, 2023

Iran and its proxies may be preparing for a major effort with military elements in northern Syria. Senior officers from the IRGC Quds For...

Iran Update, February 15, 2023

Protest coordinators have likely strengthened their organizational capabilities and internal infrastructure ahead of calls for anti-regim...

Iran Update February 14, 2023

Iran Update, February 13, 2023

The IRGC Quds Force is likely coordinating a large-scale effort to consolidate its control and influence over critical transportation rou...

Iran Update, February 10, 2023