Threat Update


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CTP’s Threat Update series provides you with a weekly analysis and assessment of the al Qaeda network and Iran

[Notice: The Critical Threats Project frequently cites sources from foreign domains. All such links are identified with an asterisk(*) for the reader's awareness.]

Below are the takeaways from the week: 



The Iranian regime *sent one of its most senior political delegations to Damascus, Syria, since the Syrian Civil War began in 2011 in order to guarantee Iran’s role in reconstruction. The delegation finalized major economic agreements after months of negotiations likely over *housing, *infrastructure, and energy projects that will expand Iran’s regional economic influence. The delegation also promoted IRGC-owned companies’ participation, which may help the IRGC mitigate the impact of U.S. sanctions.

Visit our December 21 edition of the Iran File for more.


The UN envoy to Yemen recognized a delay in implementing the Stockholm Agreement, which included an agreement on al Hudaydah city. The redeployment of all forces from the  city was to have occurred within 21 days, an ambitious timeline. The UN envoy seeks to launch national-level talks to resolve the political crisis. Hostilities continue to occur across other fronts, including Saudi-led coalition airstrikes and al Houthi drone attack. 


Jama’a Nusrat al Islam wa al Muslimeen (JNIM) is conducting raids and improvised explosive device (IED) attacks across its area of operations to fix security forces in defensive positions and pressure them to withdraw. JNIM attacked two bases in northern Mali in less than a week and targeted several military positions in Burkina Faso. These attacks are intended to prevent security forces from conducting offensive operations against JNIM’s support zones.

Read the latest Salafi-jihadi Base in the Sahel for more.