Pakistan Security Brief - June 11, 2012

U.S. to resume aggressive drone campaign; Al Qaeda’s media arm says al Libi not dead and will be in new video; Relationship between U.S. and Pakistan appears increasingly adversarial; Pakistani Army Chief Ashfaq Parvez Kayani declines to meet with U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense; U.S. negotiators quit NATO supply route talks; India and Pakistan meet to discuss Siachen; Bomb blast kills six and wounds 50 others in Balochistan; Suspected militants kill ten in South Waziristan; 15 people killed in Karachi over the weekend; Balochistan justice blames foreign intelligence agencies for instability in the region; Punjab government rejects Afridi’s transfer to jail in Rawalpindi.

Drone Strikes and the Death of Top Al Qaeda Leader

U.S.-Pakistan Relations

  • The relationship between Pakistan and the U.S. has reached its lowest level since the 9/11 attacks, with the two countries looking increasingly more like enemies than allies, according to a report by the Associated Press. Maleeha Lodhi, Pakistan’s ambassador to the U.S. when the 9/11 attacks occurred, said the relationship “has taken on attributes and characteristics now of a near-adversarial relationship.” The latest irritant in the relationship between the two countries is a stalemate between the two countries in negotiations over reopening NATO supply routes. Referencing U.S. frustration over Pakistan’s refusal to reopen NATO supply lines and allegations that Pakistan is not doing enough to fight the Haqqani network, a senior U.S. official described the relationship between the two countries as “the worst it has ever been.”[3]

  • Pakistani Army chief General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani declined to meet with U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Peter Lavoy, according to Pakistani officials speaking to The News on Monday. Though it is unclear whether Lavoy was provided a reason for the rejected meeting proposal, one Pakistani official said Kayani declined to meet with the deputy assistant secretary of defense due to allegations by the U.S. that Pakistan was not doing enough to fight local militants near the border with Afghanistan. The unnamed official added that the rejection was meant “to tell the Americans that you cannot be bad-mouthing us day in and day out and then expect a meeting with Pakistan's most powerful personality."[4]

NATO Supply Routes

India-Pakistan Relations

  • Indian and Pakistani defense officials met at the Pakistani ministry in Rawalpindi on Monday for the thirteenth round of talks between the two countries over the disputed Siachen Glacier. An April 7 avalanche that killed 140 people at a Pakistani army camp prompted Pakistani Army chief General Kayani to call for a demilitarization of the area. India, however, is reluctant to withdraw from the Siachen peaks, with an Indian defense official saying “our stand on Siachen is well known to the other side and the talks would continue within those parameters.” Both sides noted that a breakthrough is unlikely, with India’s Defense Minister A.K. Antony saying “do not expect any dramatic announcement or decision on an issue which is very important to us, especially in the context of [our] national security.” The delegations – led by S.K. Sharma on the Indian side and Nargis Sethi on the Pakistani side – plan to release a joint statement on Tuesday.[6]

Militancy

Law Enforcement

Osama bin Laden Informant


[1]Indira A.R. Lakishmanan, “Obama Increases Pakistan Drone Strikes as Relations Sour,” Bloomberg, June 8, 2012. Available at http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-08/obama-increases-pakistan-drone-strikes-as-relations-sour.html
David S. Cloud and Alex Rodriguez, “CIA gets nod to step up drone strikes in Pakistan,” Los Angeles Times, June 8, 2012. Available at http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-pakistan-drone-surge-20120608,0,2211014.story
[2] “Al qaeda number two: Websites suggest Libi still alive,” AFP, June 11, 2012. Available at http://tribune.com.pk/story/391845/al-qaeda-number-two-websites-suggest-libi-still-alive/
[3] Rebecca Santana and Sebastian Abbot, “U.S., Pakistan beginning to look more like enemies,” AP, June 9, 2012. Available at http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/jun/9/us-pakistan-beginning-look-more-enemies/?page=1
[4] “Pakistan ‘trashed’ and insulted, Kayani won’t meet US official,” Hindustantimes, June 11, 2012. Available at http://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/Pakistan/Pakistan-trashed-and-insulted-Kayani-won-t-meet-US-official/Article1-869403.aspx
[5] “US withdraws supply route negotiators from Pakistan,” BBC, June 11, 2012. Available at http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-18401465
Declan Walsh, “Notions of Honor Color High-Stakes Haggling Over NATO Supply Routes,” New York Times, June 8, 2012.  Available at http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/09/world/asia/us-and-pakistan-in-high-stakes-haggle.html?_r=1
[6]“India, Pakistan begin Siachen talks,” AFP, June 11, 2012. Available at http://tribune.com.pk/story/391988/india-pakistan-begin-siachen-talks/
“India, Pakistan in talks on disputed glacier,” AFP, June 11, 2012. Available at http://news.yahoo.com/india-pakistan-talks-disputed-glacier-071851059.html
Aditi Phadnis, “India pours cold water on Siachen talks,” Express Tribune, June 9, 2012. Available at http://tribune.com.pk/story/391080/india-pours-cold-water-on-siachen-talks/
[7] Nasir Habib, “Bomb hits bus in restive Pakistani province, killing six,” CNN, June 11, 2012. Available at http://edition.cnn.com/2012/06/11/world/asia/pakistan-violence/index.html?eref=rss_asia&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=
“Bike bomb kills six in Pakistan’s Balochistan province,” BBC, June 11, 2012. Available at http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-18393281
[8] “Khyber blasts kill two, including militant commander,” Dawn, June 11, 2012. Available at http://dawn.com/2012/06/11/khyber-blasts-kill-two-including-militant-commander/
[9] “One soldier among 10 killed in S Waziristan,” Daily Times, June 11, 2012. Available at http://dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2012\06\11\story_11-6-2012_pg7_4
[11] “Karachi violence continues,” Dawn, June 10, 2012. Available at http://dawn.com/2012/06/11/karachi-violence-continues/
“Violence after killing of MQM activist,” Dawn, June 10, 2012. Available at http://dawn.com/2012/06/11/violence-after-killing-of-mqm-activist/
“Karachi: Five killed in Musharraf Colony,” The News, June 10, 2012. Available at http://www.thenews.com.pk/article-53628-Karachi:-Five-shot-dead-in-Musharraf-Colony
“Karachi: Shooters ambush 4 to death at Al-Asif Square,” Geo Pakistan, June 9, 2012. Available at http://www.geo.tv/GeoDetail.aspx?ID=53368
[12] Sunara Nizami, “The era of martial law has ended: Gilani,” Express Tribune, June 10, 2012. Available at http://tribune.com.pk/story/391639/the-era-of-martial-law-has-ended-gilani/
[13] Shehzad Baloch, “Foreign intelligence agencies behind Balochistan situation,” Express Tribune, June 9, 2012. Available at http://tribune.com.pk/story/391313/foreign-intelligence-agencies-behind-balochistan-situation-justice-javed-iqbal/
[14] Umer Farooq, “Fraught with risk: Punjab refuses to house Dr. Afridi in Adiala Jail,” Express Tribune, June 11, 2012. Available at http://tribune.com.pk/story/391840/fraught-with-risk-punjab-refuses-to-house-dr-afridi-in-adiala-jail/