Pakistan Security Brief - August 17, 2010

Pakistan Security Brief – August 17, 2010 

ISI assessment concludes Islamic militancy a bigger threat to Pakistan than India; flooding likely to increase in the Guddu-Sukkur region; Pakistan estimates rebuilding costs after the flooding to be as high as $15 billion; World Blank offers $900 million loan, UN says Pakistan still not receiving enough relief funding; World Health Organization begins diverting medical supplies intended for IDPs to flood victims at risk of disease.

 

ISI Assessment

  • A recent assessment conducted by Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) has concluded that Islamic militancy poses a greater threat to Pakistan than India. The report says that militants have a two-thirds chance of posing a major threat to the country as opposed to a one-third chance of a major threat coming from India or elsewhere. This is the first time in Pakistan’s 63-year history that India has not been designated as the primary threat to the country. Although some experts view the ISI’s findings as “earth shattering” and called it a “remarkable change”, it’s difficult to determine whether the report’s conclusion will be accepted by the larger military establishment, the civilian government, or the Pakistani public. A recent Pew survey found that 53% of Pakistanis still see India as the greatest national security threat while only 23% said the Taliban presented the biggest danger to the country.[1]

 

Floods

 

Islamabad

  • According to Islamabad’s Inspector General of Police Syed Kaleem Imam, terrorists are planning to target judges, members of parliament, and top military officials in Islamabad. Imam said on Tuesday that “certain terrorist groups” have issued death threats to police and other government officials and that increased security measures have been implemented at “sensitive locations” throughout the city.[6]

 

U.S.-Pakistan Relations

  • Four more U.S. helicopters arrived in Pakistan on Monday while two C-130 aircraft began flying missions in the country to transport relief supplies to flood victims. The flights are expected to deliver 52,000 of supplies, mostly to Sukkur district of Sindh province. Pentagon spokesman Bryan Whitman said that the U.S. has “continued to increase [its] level of support and commitment to the relief operations” in Pakistan.[7]

 

Karachi

 


[1] Tom Wright and Siobhan Gorman, “Militants Overtake India as Top Threat to Pakistan, Says ISI,” Wall Street Journal, August 16, 2010. Available at http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703908704575433433670192748.html.  
[2] Khaleeq Kiani, “Exceptionally high flood in Guddu-Sukkur forecast,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/front-page/44-exceptionally-high-flood-in-guddusukkur-forecast-780-fa-07. “CM says situation worsening in GB,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/provinces/12-cm+says+situation+worsening+in+gb--bi-03.
[3] Myra MacDonald, “Rebuilding after Pakistan floods could reach $15bn,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/world/19-rebuilding-after-pakistan-floods-could-reach-15bn-hh-02. Ahmad Hassan, “Process begins for setting up commission,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/front-page/44-process-begins-for-setting-up-commission-780-fa-08.
[4] Ashraf Khan, “UN says millions without help in Pakistan floods,” AP, August 17, 2010. Available at http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100817/ap_on_bi_ge/as_pakistan_floods. Emmanuel Duparcq, “Pakistan wins more flood aid,” AFP, August 17, 2010. Available at http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20100817/wl_sthasia_afp/pakistanweatherfloods. “More aid pledges from world community ,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/03-pakistan-wins-more-aid-pledges-from-international-community-ss-08. “Afghanistan gives $1 million to Pakistan flood victims ,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/04-afghanistan-aid-to-pakistan-qs-06. Baqir Sajjad Syed, “Foreign Minister Mehmood Qureshi criticises media,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/front-page/44-minister-criticises-media-780-fa-05. Faiz Mohammad Khan, “Unicef seeks help to save millions of Pakistani children,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/national/44-unicef-seeks-help-to-save-millions-of-children-780-fa-03.
[5] Ashfaq Yusufza, “Medicines for IDPs being diverted to flood victims,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/national/44-medicines-for-idps-being-diverted-to-flood-victims-780-fa-09. “Unexploded weapons posing threat to flood-hit areas,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/national/unexploded-weapons-posing-threat-to-floodhit-areas-780.
[6] “‘Terrorists planning to target key officials in Islamabad’,” Dawn, August 17, 2010. Available at http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/04-terrorists-plan-target-govt-officials-qs-08.