Analysis

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Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: June 14
By Bailey Palmer, June 14, 2016

The lack of substantive progress in negotiations for a political settlement in Kuwait has created incentives for both the al Houthi-Saleh faction and Saudi-led coalition forces to attempt to change the frontline of the war.

GNA-Allied Forces Seize Momentum against ISIS in Sirte
By Emily Estelle, June 10, 2016

The Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) is losing the battle for Sirte, its stronghold on the central Libyan coast since early 2015. The counter-ISIS fight has masked the ongoing political fight in Libya, however, and the continued lack of political resolution will drive instability.

Challenging the Yemeni State: ISIS in Aden and al Mukalla

ISIS is prosecuting a campaign in Yemen designed to elevate its position on the global stage and compete with one of al Qaeda’s strongest affiliates. ISIS will likely surge in Yemen during Ramadan 2016 and attempt to derail ongoing efforts to bring stability and security to southern Yemen.

Update and Assessment: June 8, 2016
By The Editors , June 8, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

AQIM and ISIS in Algeria: Competing Campaigns
By Emily Estelle, Brenna Snyder, June 2, 2016

The Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham and al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb are competing to be the dominant Salafi-jihadi group in Algeria.

Update and Assessment: June 1, 2016
By The Editors , June 1, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Update and Assessment: May 25, 2016
By The Editors , May 25, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Update and Assessment: May 18, 2016
By The Editors , May 18, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: May 17

The Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) is actively targeting Yemeni security forces in al Mukalla, Hadramawt, which coalition-backed forces recently secured.

Update and Assessment: May 11, 2016
By The Editors , May 11, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.