Analysis

Printer-friendly version

Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: July 6
By Katherine Zimmerman, July 6, 2016

The Yemeni government and the Saudi-led coalition may be preparing to attack al Houthi-held Sana’a following the breakdown of the UN-led peace process in Kuwait. The Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) is exploiting the ongoing conflict to derail the reconstitution of the Yemeni state in major port cities. Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula is leveraging this tension to develop relationships with local groups and re-establish strongholds in central and southern Yemen.

Update and Assessment: July 6, 2016
By The Editors , July 6, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Update and Assessment: June 29, 2016
By The Editors , June 29, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

AQIM and ISIS in Tunisia: Competing Campaigns
By Jaclyn Stutz, June 28, 2016

ISIS is developing the ability to conduct a low-level insurgency in Tunisia. Its presence in neighboring Algeria and Libya, and now on the ground in Tunisia, strengthens the group.

Update and Assessment: June 22, 2016
By The Editors , June 22, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

In Libya, the US is Playing Whack-A-Mole with Terror
By Emily Estelle, Fox News, June 21, 2016

CIA Director John Brennan is right, and Secretary of State John Kerry is wrong. The progress being touted by the Obama Administration against ISIS in Libya is ephemeral, while the real danger from that group is growing.

Update and Assessment: June 15, 2016
By The Editors , June 15, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: June 14
By Bailey Palmer, June 14, 2016

The lack of substantive progress in negotiations for a political settlement in Kuwait has created incentives for both the al Houthi-Saleh faction and Saudi-led coalition forces to attempt to change the frontline of the war.

GNA-Allied Forces Seize Momentum against ISIS in Sirte
By Emily Estelle, June 10, 2016

The Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) is losing the battle for Sirte, its stronghold on the central Libyan coast since early 2015. The counter-ISIS fight has masked the ongoing political fight in Libya, however, and the continued lack of political resolution will drive instability.

Challenging the Yemeni State: ISIS in Aden and al Mukalla

ISIS is prosecuting a campaign in Yemen designed to elevate its position on the global stage and compete with one of al Qaeda’s strongest affiliates. ISIS will likely surge in Yemen during Ramadan 2016 and attempt to derail ongoing efforts to bring stability and security to southern Yemen.