Analysis

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Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: March 1
By James Towey, March 1, 2016

Saudi Arabia is leveraging Yemeni President Abdu Rabbu Mansour Hadi’s government to advance Saudi regional objectives to limit Iran’s influence.

Update and Assessment: February 24, 2016
By The Editors , February 24, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on Iran and the al Qaeda network.

ISIS’s Campaign in Libya: January 4-February 19, 2016

ISIS is executing a sophisticated, multi-front campaign against Libya’s oil facilities, demonstrating the organization’s growing capability abroad. ISIS’s safe haven in Libya will allow it to survive even if it is defeated in Iraq and Syria.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: February 17
By James Towey, February 17, 2016

The Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) in Yemen is undermining the internationally-recognized government in Aden through repeated, effective attacks on security forces and government officials.

The new Cold War in the Mediterranean

Russia is already winning a new Cold War in the Mediterranean by re-establishing a permanent air and naval base on the Syrian coast under the guise of helping Bashar Assad fight terrorism.

Update and Assessment: February 17, 2016
By The Editors , February 17, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on Iran and the al Qaeda network.

AQAP Expanding behind Yemen's Frontlines
By Katherine Zimmerman, February 17, 2016

AQAP is well on its way to reconstituting the emirate it held in 2011 and 2012 almost unnoticed by the outside world. U.S. airstrikes have had no effect at all on its expansion and have not significantly degraded the group’s ability to target the United States. AQAP is becoming an ever-more serious threat to American national security, and no one is doing much about it.

How Russia controls American policy

We’ve seen this movie—now playing in Syria-- before. The Russians have developed a way of getting the US formally to permit offensive Russian military operations against American partners on the ground, all the while calling it a ceasefire.

Jabhat al Nusra and ISIS: Sources of Strength

American strategy toward ISIS has mis-identified the group’s center of gravity and is inadvertently strengthening al Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al Nusra.

Update and Assessment: February 10, 2016
By The Editors , February 10, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on Iran and the al Qaeda network.