Analysis

Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

Desknote: The Southern Movement Uprising
By Sasha Gordon, February 28, 2013

Yemen’s fragile and reversible gains against al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula are threatened by a new challenge:  the re-emergence of a violent secessionist movement in the south.

The Afghan Endgame

President Obama’s decision to withdraw another 34,000 troops from Afghanistan over the course of the next year is unwise.

Iraq’s Return to Bloodshed

Eighteen days of protests in Egypt in 2011 electrified the world. But more than twice that many days of protest in Iraq have gone almost unnoticed in the United States.

Rand Paul's Side Effects

Senator Paul’s most important intellectual error lies precisely in his notion of side effects. Inactivity, too, has side effects, and those must be weighed as seriously as the side effects of proposed actions.

Tribal Militias in Yemen: Al Bayda and Shabwah
By Sasha Gordon, February 7, 2013

Local Yemeni tribal militias, called “popular resistance committees,” are now the primary defenders of areas threatened by Ansar al Sharia. These militias have been effective, but are not reliable in the long term.

Map: Al Bayda Tribes
By Sasha Gordon, February 7, 2013

Al Bayda is a governorate located near Sana'a, Yemen's capital. This map illustrates the approximate locations of tribes within the governorate.

Map: Shabwah Tribes
By Sasha Gordon, February 7, 2013

This map depicts the approximate location of the many tribes and tribal groups within Shabwah governorate.

Chart: Qayfa Tribe Hierarchy
By Sasha Gordon, February 7, 2013

The Qayfa tribe is a poweful tribe in al Bayda. This chart depicts its various sub-tribes.

Chart: Bani Helal Tribe Hierarchy
By Sasha Gordon, February 7, 2013

The Bani Helal is a large tribe in northern Shabwah which includes several sub-tribes. This chart depicts the tribal hierarchy.

Iran-Pakistan Pipeline Moves Forward Despite U.S. Opposition
By Reza Jan, Will Fulton, February 5, 2013

Iran on Saturday pledged to forge ahead on a new gas pipeline project with Pakistan despite U.S. urgings to Pakistan to quash the deal. The deal is noteworthy because it involves an Iranian company closely linked to Iran’s Supreme Leader and could potentially put Pakistan on the wrong side of the sanctions regime against Iran.