Analysis

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Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

Fighting Forces in Libya: October 2016
By Emily Estelle, November 3, 2016

Escalating competition among Libyan factions for control of state institutions and resources will diminish the U.S. counterterrorism partner’s ability and will to maintain its commitment to fight against ISIS.

Update and Assessment: November 2, 2016
By The Editors , November 2, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Update and Assessment: October 26, 2016
By The Editors , October 26, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Update and Assessment: October 19, 2016
By The Editors , October 19, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Iranian involvement in missile attacks on the USS Mason

Iran almost certainly played a role in the missile attacks against the USS Mason near the Bab al Mandab Strait on October 9 and October 12. . Iran likely supplied the missiles and, at the very least, Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Quds Force (IRGC-QF) or Lebanese Hezbollah operatives provided technical expertise and modifications in support of those who launched the attack.

Escalation in the Red Sea: Yemen’s Civil War, Iran, and Saudi Arabia
By Katherine Zimmerman, Emily Estelle, October 14, 2016

The deliberate targeting of U.S. Navy vessels from al Houthi-Saleh–controlled territory is a significant inflection in the Red Sea and a sign that Yemen’s civil war is becoming tangled in regional dynamics and conflicts. It does not make sense when seen in the context of only one the conflicts—the Yemeni civil war, the Iranian-Saudi conflict, and Iran’s more aggressive posturing in the region.

Update and Assessment: October 12, 2016
By The Editors , October 12, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Yemen Frontlines: October 2016
By Katherine Zimmerman, October 6, 2016

The frontlines of Yemen’s civil war have remained relatively fixed because neither side has the military strength to extend its influence significantly beyond the borders of its support base.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: October 5
By Katherine Zimmerman, October 5, 2016

Attempts to end Yemen's civil war by resolving only national-level disputes have failed because both local and regional actors and tensions continue to drive the conflict and preclude any straightforward negotiated settlement.

Update and Assessment: October 5, 2016
By The Editors , October 5, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.