Analysis

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Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: July 7
By Katherine Zimmerman, July 7, 2015

Yemeni stakeholders have expressed that they are open to a humanitarian ceasefire, but an agreement has not yet been reached. Neither side of the conflict has made concessions in negotiations, despite increasing pressure from international actors and a growing humanitarian crisis inside of the country.

Update and Assessment: July 1, 2015
By The Editors , July 1, 2015

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on Iran and the al Qaeda network.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: June 30
By Katherine Zimmerman, June 30, 2015

The protraction the Yemen crisis is creating space for the Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) to expand and potentially drive the conflict toward sectarian war. ISIS’s growth in Yemen has not affected the ability of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula’s (AQAP) to operate there.

Testimony: America’s Strategy Against ISIS Must Focus on Assisting the Iraqi Security Forces and Government
By Frederick W. Kagan, June 24, 2015

“There is no military solution to the problem” has become a constant refrain in American​ strategic and policy discourse, particularly as it relates to the Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS). The refrain is, of course, a truism. The problem of ISIS transcends its military threat and requires a solution that is not purely military.

Update and Assessment: June 24, 2015
By The Editors , June 24, 2015

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on Iran and the al Qaeda network.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: June 22
By Alexis Knutsen, June 22, 2015

Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) militants carried out their fifth, and possibly sixth, bombings targeting the al Houthis since the start of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan. The attacks indicate ISIS may have started a Ramadan offensive in Yemen against the al Houthis.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: June 18
By Alexis Knutsen, June 18, 2015

Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) militants detonated four bombs targeting al Houthis in Sana’a, the second time ISIS has carried out a spectacular attack on the al Houthis in Yemen. The attack may mark the beginning of an ISIS Ramadan offensive in Yemen and will likely inflame sectarian tensions with the al Houthis.

Ramadan Bombings in Yemen: Part of ISIS's Global Strategy?
By Alexis Knutsen, June 17, 2015

The Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) claimed a coordinated attack in Yemen’s capital hours after it occurred. The timing of ISIS’s spectacular attack may mark the beginning of an ISIS Ramadan offensive in Yemen.

Update and Assessment: June 17, 2015
By The Editors , June 17, 2015

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on Iran and the al Qaeda network.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: June 16
By Alexis Knutsen, June 16, 2015

Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) confirmed that a U.S. airstrike killed its leader and al Qaeda’s general manager, Nasser al Wahayshi. Wahayshi’s death will probably not significantly affect AQAP’s ongoing operations in Yemen, where it has made significant gains exploiting the fight against the al Houthis in the south and a security vacuum in the east.