Analysis

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Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

Update and Assessment: March 23, 2016
By The Editors , March 23, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: March 22
By Katherine Zimmerman, March 22, 2016

The announcement that there will be a ceasefire in Yemen as a step toward resuming political negotiations generated reactions on the ground as warring parties seek to cement gains in advance of talks.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: March 16
By James Towey, March 16, 2016

The offensive in Taiz city by forces backing Yemeni President Abdu Rabbu Mansour Hadi against the al Houthi-Saleh forces may cause the al Houthis to recalculate their negotiating positions but is unlikely to collapse the al Houthi-Saleh alliance.

What the Russian 'withdrawal' from Syria really means
By Frederick W. Kagan, FoxNews.com, March 16, 2016

Putin's just-announced “withdrawal” serves political, military operational, diplomatic, and possibly strategic purposes, but its actual significance for operations in Syria is minimal. Its significance for the long-term correlation of forces in the Mediterranean, however, is dire.

Update and Assessment: March 16, 2016
By The Editors , March 16, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Translation: Transcript of Putin's Meeting with Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Shoigu
By Frederick W. Kagan, March 15, 2016

Vladimir Putin held a meeting with Minister of Foreign Affairs Sergei Lavrov and Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu to discuss Russia's involvement in Syria. A translation of the transcript follows.

Update and Assessment: March 9, 2016
By The Editors , March 9, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: March 8
By James Towey, March 8, 2016

Yemen continues to be a theater for the Iranian-Saudi regional conflict. An Iranian official threatened to increase direct Iranian military support to the al Houthis in Yemen.

Desknote: ISIS's Tunisian attack cell in Libya
By Emily Estelle, March 8, 2016

ISIS is maintaining a cell near Sabratha, Libya to conduct attacks into Tunisia. This cell is threatening the last, fragile success story of the Arab Spring and demonstrates, once again, the challenges of trying to contain ISIS within uncontested safe-havens.

Backgrounder: Fighting Forces in Libya

Libya is a safe-haven for the Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS), al Qaeda, and other Salafi-jihadi groups. These groups use territory in Libya to train and prepare for terrorist attacks in neighboring Tunisia and Egypt and to support the establishment of like-minded groups elsewhere in North Africa.