Analysis

Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: January 27
By Alexis Knutsen, January 27, 2015

The al Houthis remain in control of the capital Sana’a as anti-Houthi sentiments throughout the country grow. Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula continues its attacks on al Houthi and military targets.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: January 25
By Alexis Knutsen, January 25, 2015

Regional factions are beginning to mobilize and refuse to recognize the authority of the Yemeni central government.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: January 23
By Alexis Knutsen, January 23, 2015

The resignation of Yemen’s executive branch in response to al Houthi actions increases the risk of state fragmentation.

2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Report
By The Editors , January 23, 2015

An archive of the 2015 Yemen Crisis Situation Reports.

In Yemen, No Good Options Are Left: It is in Washington's Interest to Stop the Slow-Motion Collapse of an Ally

The Sana'a showdown is a sideshow to the slow-motion collapse of the entire Yemeni state. Cui bono? Al Qaeda. Who loses? The United States of America.

School Massacre a Sign of Taliban's Desperation but also Violent Capability
By Reza Jan, December 16, 2014

At least 141 people have been killed in a Pakistani Taliban attack on a school in Pakistan’s northwestern city of Peshawar. The attack clearly demonstrates that the Pakistani Taliban remains a deadly and potent threat, despite having been weakened by ongoing military operations and recent infighting.

Islamic State Threat Grows in South Asia at Pakistani Taliban's Expense
By Reza Jan, November 10, 2014

Several senior members of the premier al Qaeda-allied Pakistani Taliban umbrella group declared on October 10 that they were defecting and proclaiming allegiance to the Islamic State (IS) leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi. The move was remarkable because it implied a renunciation of allegiance to Afghan Taliban leader Mullah Omar.

U.S. Strategy Against Islamic State Is Too Much Air, Not Enough Boots

After 50 days of obvious failure, it's time to consider an approach that might work against ISIS: Get American special forces on the ground with the Sunni Arabs themselves. The only other alternative is to resign ourselves to living with an Al Qaeda state and army.

Sana'a Under Siege: Yemen's Uncertain Future
By Alexis Knutsen, September 25, 2014

The al Houthi siege on Sana’a on September 21 sets a dangerous precedent that could lead to the repartition of Yemen. The al Houthis, whether intentionally or not, have set Yemen on a path that puts the existence of an essential U.S. counterterrorism partner on the table.

The Khorasan Group: Syria's Al Qaeda Threat
By Katherine Zimmerman, September 23, 2014

Eight U.S. strikes targeted the Khorasan group west of Aleppo in Syria on September 22. Pentagon spokesman Rear Admiral John Kirby confirmed that the Khorasan group, which is tied to al Qaeda, was “planning imminent attacks” against targets that included the U.S. homeland. The al Qaeda threat growing in Syria is now realized.