Analysis
Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.
Courting Disaster in AfghanistanWhen we have made the gains we can and must make, and when we have consolidated them to ensure that our efforts were not wasted and our security is not endangered—only then should we talk about drawing down more troops or changing their mission. To do otherwise is to court disaster.
Yemen Crisis Situation Reports: Update 128Al Qaeda has made significant gains in Yemen over the course of the past year’s unrest. The targeting of al Qaeda operatives in Yemen has not reversed the territorial control of local, al Qaeda-linked groups such as Ansar al Sharia. Ansar al Sharia’s presence in south Yemen has expanded al Qaeda’s operating space in the country.
Taliban Reconciliation in Pakistan: Much Less Than Meets the EyeDespite grand announcements, gestures, and claims of reconciliation among warring Taliban factions, little is likely to change on the ground with respect to Taliban operations in Pakistan.
Yemen Crisis Situation Reports: Update 127Unrest throughout Yemen continues despite progress toward a political transition. Al Houthis control Sa’ada governorate in the north and are engaged in fighting with Salafists, and al Qaeda-linked militants control swathes of territory in south Yemen. The so-called “parallel revolution” seeks to oust officials close to President Ali Abdullah Saleh from their positions.
Troops, Not TechnologyThe question is not whether the United States will again send troops to fight in far-off lands. The question that should weigh most heavily on Congress as it considers the defense budget is what kind of leaders those troops will have and how well prepared they will be.
Yemen Crisis Situation Reports: Update 126President Ali Abdullah Saleh has received complete immunity and left for the U.S., but protests continue against him and his family across Yemen. Al Qaeda-linked militants continue to hold recently expanded territory in southern Yemen.
Yemen Crisis Situation Reports: Update 125Al Qaeda-linked operatives hold onto Rada’a just 100 miles from the Yemeni capital. The capture of Rada’a has expanded the territory that al Qaeda-linked militants now control in southern Yemen. Political turmoil in Sana’a continues to threaten the successful implementation of the Gulf Cooperation Council deal signed last November.
Yemen Crisis Situation Reports: Update 124Al Qaeda-linked militants seized control of another town in southern Yemen only 100 miles from Sana’a over the weekend. Ongoing street opposition and deteriorating security threaten a planned presidential election in February and efforts to restore order after the signing of the Gulf Cooperation Council deal last November.
Yemen Crisis Situation Reports: Update 123The progress in Yemen’s capital, Sana’a, toward implementing the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) deal and removing military forces from the city has not been matched elsewhere in Yemen. Protests continue in Aden and Taiz, both former capitals, which will challenge the new government.
Taiz: The Heart of Yemen's RevolutionTaiz is as important a city as Sana’a to understanding the Yemeni Spring, yet its significance has been largely overlooked by the international community. The path to meaningful political settlement in Yemen runs through Taiz.
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