Analysis

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Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

Putin Sets the Stage for the Incoming U.S. Administration

Putin aims to present the incoming U.S. administration with the false dichotomy of partnering with Russia and allowing Putin to operate with impunity or going to war.

Update and Assessment: November 30, 2016
By The Editors , November 30, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Update and Assessment: November 22, 2016
By The Editors , November 22, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: November 22
By Maher Farrukh, Hamsa Fayed, November 22, 2016

An agreement to a roadmap for peace between the al Houthi-Saleh faction and the Saudi-led coalition will probably not lead to a negotiated political settlement in the near term because the conditions for a sustainable ceasefire and peace deal are not yet set.

Update and Assessment: November 16, 2016
By The Editors , November 16, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

A New ISIS Branch in the Sahel?
By Katherine Zimmerman, Emily Estelle, November 15, 2016

ISIS informally recognized a new branch operating in the Sahel region of West Africa on October 30, 2016. The group had been operating under the ISIS name for over a year, but only demonstrated any real attack capability in September and October 2016.

Province Ties to the Islamic State Core: Islamic State in Yemen
By Katherine Zimmerman, November 14, 2016

The Islamic State is present in Yemen and will likely remain so for the foreseeable future. That reality may well lead U.S. policymakers to see Yemen as a front in the counter–Islamic State fight. That would be a mistake.

Update and Assessment: November 9, 2016
By The Editors , November 9, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Warning Update: al Qaeda's Global Attack Campaign

Al Qaeda never stopped planning attacks against the US even when it was prioritizing the local fights and working within local dynamics. The group seeks to lead a global insurgency, rooted in these local fights, that it will take to the West.

Ethiopian AMISOM Withdrawals
By Colin Lahiff, November 4, 2016

Al Qaeda’s affiliate in Somalia, al Shabaab, is occupying areas vacated by withdrawing Ethiopian forces and regaining its strength in south-central Somalia.