Analysis

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Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: August 25
By Nicholas Jonsson, August 25, 2016

Recent setbacks for al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) may not weaken the group permanently because of AQAP’s resiliency and the continuation of ground conditions that it can exploit to generate popular support. Russian officials deepened engagement with both the al Houthi-Saleh leadership and backers of the Hadi government, in what may be an opportunistic move to increase Russian influence in Yemen.

Update and Assessment: August 24, 2016
By The Editors , August 24, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Update and Assessment: August 17, 2016
By The Editors , August 17, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

ISIS Loses Headquarters in Sirte, Libya
By Frederick W. Kagan, Emily Estelle, August 11, 2016

U.S.-backed forces in Libya may declare victory over the Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) in Sirte this week, but a victory over ISIS in Sirte may lead to more conflict in the long term and ultimately strengthen actors that pose a direct threat to U.S. national security.

Update and Assessment: August 10, 2016
By The Editors , August 10, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

2016 Yemen Crisis Situation Report: August 4
By Nicholas Jonsson, August 4, 2016

The al Houthi-Saleh alliance increased attacks on southern Saudi Arabia in what may be an effort to induce Saudi Arabia to negotiate a ceasefire outside of the UN framework.

U.S. Counter-ISIS Air Campaign Expands to Sirte
By Emily Estelle, Sarah Lossing, August 4, 2016

American military support for the Government of National Accord in Libya, in the absence of a political resolution in the country, risks worsening Libya’s civil war and benefitting ISIS and al Qaeda in the long term.

Update and Assessment: August 3, 2016
By The Editors , August 3, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.

Avoiding al Qaeda's Syria Trap: Jabhat al Nusra's Rebranding

The leader of al Qaeda’s Syrian affiliate, Jabhat al Nusra, announced the end of his group’s operations and the creation of a new entity named Jabhat Fatah al Sham.

Update and Assessment: July 27, 2016
By The Editors , July 27, 2016

The Critical Threats Project releases a weekly update and assessment on the al Qaeda network.