Analysis

Please find below the most recent in-depth analysis pieces from CriticalThreats.org.

In Fight Against ISIS, the U.S. Must Lead, and Not Rely on Allies

The Islamic State is a threat to the United States of America, and that is the primary reason we must defeat it. The United States has capabilities that no other state or group in the world has, and that is why we must lead this effort.

A Strategy to Defeat the Islamic State

The Islamic State is a clear and present danger to the security of the U.S. We must therefore pursue an iterative approach that tests basic assumptions, develops our understanding, and builds partnerships with willing parties on the ground, especially the Sunni Arabs in Iraq.

Obama's Counterterrorism Strategy Is Already Failing

President Obama strategy’s against the Islamic State is based on what the U.S. is doing in Yemen, combining targeted airstrikes with support for a local partner, a counterterrorism strategy which Obama claims has been successful and has made the U.S. safer. Unfortunately, those claims are not accurate.

Don't Replicate the Failure of Yemen

President Obama held up America’s strategy in Yemen as a model for the counterterrorism strategy he intends to pursue in Iraq and Syria. By doing so, he committed to a strategy of targeting terrorists from the air and supporting local security forces in their counterterrorism fight.

Obama's 'Strategy' Has No Chance of Success

A counter-terrorism strategy will not succeed against the Islamic State because it is not just a terrorist group anymore.

A Successful Strike Against al Shabaab?
By Katherine Zimmerman, September 2, 2014

The Pentagon confirmed U.S. military airstrikes targeted al Shabaab leader Ahmed Abdi Godane on Monday night. The counterterrorism operation occurred in Sablale district near al Shabaab’s stronghold in Barawe, according to reports.

Competing Jihad: The Islamic State and al Qaeda
By Katherine Zimmerman, September 1, 2014

The Islamic State’s success is energizing the entire global jihadist movement, including al Qaeda, to compete with one another in violent conquest and terror. The U.S. must act decisively for the danger is clear and present.

Pakistani Government’s Survival in Question Following Violent Clashes with Protesters
By Reza Jan, August 31, 2014

Pakistan's political crisis finally boiled over and clashes between riot police and anti-government protesters turned the capital, Islamabad, into a warzone. The violence and instability of the situation has called the government's survival into question.

If West Cannot Live With Islamic State It Must Do All That's Needed To Defeat It On The Ground
By Frederick W. Kagan, August 23, 2014

Air attacks alone will not be enough to deal with ISIS now that it controls so much of Syria and Iraq - and threatens the US and Europe.

Pakistan's March Madness: The Opposition Attempts to Topple the Government
By Reza Jan, August 14, 2014

Although events in Pakistan sometimes have a blink-and-you’ll-miss-it feeling to them, today’s protests have been months in the making and have implications for the future of Pakistan’s civil-military relations, democratic development and relations with the U.S. and India.